MATCH OVERVIEW
Guingamp and Bastia are set to clash in a pivotal Ligue 2 match at Stade de Roudourou. Scheduled for January 2, 2026, at 20:00, this game holds significant importance for both teams as they strive to climb the league table. Guingamp, currently enjoying a better form, will aim to leverage their home advantage, while Bastia seeks to disrupt their opponent's momentum.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match favor Guingamp with a 1.79 chance of winning, indicating a 55.87% probability. The draw is priced at 3.54, translating to a 28.25% chance, while Bastia's odds of 4.59 suggest a 21.79% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Guingamp is expected to dominate, but Bastia's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Guingamp
Guingamp has been impressive this season, with a strong offensive record. They average 1.47 goals per match and have a high Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 70.59%. Their possession rate of 53.12% and successful dribbles indicate a team comfortable with controlling the game. However, their defense, conceding 1.76 goals per match, remains a concern.
Bastia
Bastia, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.5 goals per match. Their Over 2.5 Goals percentage is a mere 25%, reflecting their defensive approach. Despite this, Bastia's defense is relatively solid, conceding 1.38 goals per match. Their possession rate of 52.44% suggests they can hold their own against Guingamp.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guingamp has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Bastia. This trend is likely to continue given their current form and home advantage.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Guingamp
- Louis Mafouta: With 6 goals this season, Mafouta is a key offensive threat.
- Amine Hemia: Contributing 3 goals, Hemia's playmaking abilities are crucial.
Bastia
- Zakaria Ariss: Leading Bastia with 158.9 points, Ariss is vital in both defense and attack.
- Amine Boutrah: With 2 goals, Boutrah's ability to find the net could be pivotal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Guingamp's offensive metrics, including 10.65 shots per match and 3.94 on target, highlight their attacking strength. In contrast, Bastia's defensive metrics, such as 6.88 clearances per match, underscore their resilience. Guingamp's higher expected goals (1.3) compared to Bastia's (0.93) further suggests a potential home victory.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Guingamp is favored to win, given their superior offensive capabilities and home advantage. Key factors include their ability to score and maintain possession. Bastia's defense will be tested, but their chances of a draw or upset remain slim. Final score prediction: Guingamp 2-1 Bastia.