MATCH OVERVIEW
Antwerp will host Charleroi in a pivotal Belgium First Division match, with both teams eager to secure vital points as the season approaches its climax. This fixture, set at Antwerp's home stadium, is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Scheduled for May 29, 2025, at 16:30, this match promises to deliver high-stakes action.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Antwerp slightly favored at 2.15, Charleroi at 2.64, and a draw at 3.38. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 46.5% for an Antwerp win, 28.5% for a Charleroi victory, and 25% for a draw. Given the odds, Antwerp holds a slight edge, but Charleroi's competitive form cannot be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Antwerp
Antwerp has shown consistent form this season, with an average of 1.4 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.13%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 11.85 shots per game, with 4.38 on target. However, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.25 goals per match.
Charleroi
Charleroi, on the other hand, has demonstrated strong offensive prowess, averaging 1.38 goals per match and a slightly lower possession rate of 51.48%. Their defense has been more robust, conceding only 1.15 goals per game. Charleroi's ability to maintain pressure with 13.45 shots per game, including 4.75 on target, makes them a formidable opponent.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Antwerp and Charleroi have been tightly contested, with both teams having their fair share of victories. This season, Antwerp's home advantage could play a crucial role, but Charleroi's resilience on the road should not be overlooked.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Antwerp
- Vincent Janssen: With 11 goals this season, Janssen is a key figure in Antwerp's attack.
- Tjaronn Chery: Leading the team with 14 goals, Chery's form will be vital for Antwerp's success.
Charleroi
- Nikola Stulic: Charleroi's top scorer with 16 goals, Stulic poses a significant threat to Antwerp's defense.
- Daan Heymans: With 14 goals, Heymans is another crucial player for Charleroi.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Antwerp: Average Expected Goals (xG) of 1.33, indicating their potential to score.
- Charleroi: Higher xG of 1.65, showcasing their offensive strength.
Defensive Metrics
- Antwerp: Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 1.77, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
- Charleroi: Lower xGA of 1.28, suggesting a more solid defense.
Possession and Passing
- Antwerp: Average successful passes of 397.75, with a passing accuracy that supports their possession-based play.
- Charleroi: Slightly lower successful passes at 389.15, but with effective key passes averaging 4.2 per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Antwerp's home advantage and slightly better odds position them as favorites. However, Charleroi's strong offensive metrics and solid defense could lead to an upset. Key factors will include Antwerp's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities and Charleroi's resilience in defense.
Final Score Prediction
Antwerp 2 - Charleroi 1
Half Time Score Prediction
Antwerp 1 - Charleroi 1
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 46.5%
- Away Win: 28.5%
- Draw: 25%
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): 57.5%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 50%