MATCH OVERVIEW
Gent and Kortrijk are set to face off in a crucial Belgium First Division match that could have significant implications for their respective seasons. Gent, playing at home, will be looking to leverage their strong form and home advantage to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Kortrijk will aim to upset the odds and claim a valuable victory on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Gent as the favorites with odds of 1.65, indicating a 60.6% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.77, translating to a 26.5% chance, while Kortrijk's odds of 4.64 suggest a 21.6% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Gent is expected to dominate, but Kortrijk's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Gent
Gent has been consistent this season, with an average of 1.39 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.11 goals per game. Their possession rate of 50.93% and successful passes average of 359.64 highlight their ability to control the game. However, their expected goals against of 1.61 suggests potential vulnerabilities in defense.
Kortrijk
Kortrijk has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.9 goals per match. Their defense has been porous, conceding 1.86 goals per game. Despite these challenges, Kortrijk's average of 223 duels per match and successful duels rate of 108.07 indicate a competitive spirit that could trouble Gent.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Gent has had the upper hand in this fixture, often capitalizing on their home advantage. Kortrijk will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Gent
- Max Dean: With 6 goals this season, Dean is Gent's top scorer and a key threat in attack.
- Davy Roef: His 343 points highlight his importance in goal, providing stability and confidence to the defense.
Kortrijk
- Nacho Ferri: Leading the scoring charts for Kortrijk with 6 goals, Ferri will be crucial in their attacking efforts.
- Marko Ilic: His 211.95 points underscore his role as a defensive stalwart, essential for Kortrijk's chances.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Gent averages 11.43 shots per game, with 4.25 on target, showcasing their attacking prowess.
- Kortrijk's 10 shots per game, with 3.31 on target, indicate a need for improved accuracy.
Defensive Metrics
- Gent's average of 4.39 goalkeeper saves per match highlights their defensive resilience.
- Kortrijk's 3.38 saves per game suggest they may face more pressure from Gent's attack.
Possession and Passing
- Gent's possession rate of 50.93% and successful passes average of 359.64 demonstrate their control in midfield.
- Kortrijk's possession of 44.48% and successful passes of 279.97 indicate potential struggles in maintaining control.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Gent's superior form and home advantage make them favorites for this match. Key factors such as their attacking depth and defensive solidity are likely to play a decisive role. Kortrijk's resilience and competitive spirit could pose challenges, but Gent's quality should prevail.
Final Score Prediction: Gent 2-1 Kortrijk Half Time Score Prediction: Gent 1-0 Kortrijk Probability of Both Teams to Score: 55% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 48%
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