MATCH OVERVIEW
Union Saint-Gilloise will face Sint-Truiden in a pivotal Belgium First Division match. This fixture is crucial for both teams as they seek to solidify their positions in the league standings. The match will be held at the Stade Joseph Marien, providing a home advantage for Union Saint-Gilloise. Kick-off is scheduled for 15:00 GMT on February 2, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory. Union Saint-Gilloise is favored with odds of 1.43, translating to a 69.9% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 4.58, giving it a 21.8% chance, while Sint-Truiden's odds of 7.15 reflect a 14% probability of an away win. Based on these odds, Union Saint-Gilloise is expected to dominate the match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Union Saint-Gilloise has been impressive this season, with an average of 1.52 goals per game and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.78 goals per match. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 13.7 shots per game and an expected goals (xG) of 1.82. Defensively, they are robust, with a CompaScore Defensive Rating of 536.95.
Sint-Truiden, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.91 goals per game. Offensively, they average 1.22 goals per match with an xG of 1.56. Their CompaScore Offensive Rating of 620.68 indicates potential, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Union Saint-Gilloise.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Union Saint-Gilloise, Franjo Ivanovic is a key player, having scored 9 goals this season. His partnership with Promise David, who has 7 goals, will be crucial. Cameron Puertas, with 292.01 points, is another standout performer.
Sint-Truiden will rely heavily on Adriano Bertaccini, their top scorer with 11 goals. Billal Brahimi and Bruno Godeau, with 221.4 and 216.01 points respectively, will also be pivotal in their efforts to challenge Union Saint-Gilloise.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Union Saint-Gilloise boasts superior possession stats at 49.57% and a higher average of successful passes (324.65) compared to Sint-Truiden's 380.13. Their defensive metrics, including 40.04 interceptions per game, highlight their ability to disrupt opposition play. Sint-Truiden's higher average of dangerous own half losses (6.78) could be a significant disadvantage.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Union Saint-Gilloise is likely to secure a victory. Their strong defensive record and potent attack, led by Ivanovic and David, are expected to be decisive. Sint-Truiden's defensive frailties may be their undoing.
Final Score Prediction: Union Saint-Gilloise 2-0 Sint-Truiden. Key factors include Union Saint-Gilloise's home advantage and superior defensive capabilities.