MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Brazil Série A match between Bahia and Fortaleza promises to be a thrilling encounter. Bahia, playing at home, will be eager to secure a victory to strengthen their position in the league. Meanwhile, Fortaleza will be looking to defy the odds and claim a crucial away win. The match will take place at the Arena Fonte Nova, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, on November 20, 2025, at 21:00 UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home win for Bahia, with odds of 1.57. The probability of a draw stands at 3.55, while an away win for Fortaleza is considered less likely with odds of 5.17. These odds translate to a 63.7% chance of a Bahia victory, a 28.2% chance of a draw, and an 19.3% chance of a Fortaleza win. Based on these probabilities, Bahia is the clear favorite to take all three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bahia
Bahia has shown consistent form this season, with an average of 1.31 goals per match and a possession rate of 53.78%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 11.97 shots per game, with 4.25 on target. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.19 goals per match, supported by a solid interception rate of 36.97 per game.
Fortaleza
Fortaleza, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.94 goals per match. Their possession rate of 46.48% indicates a more defensive approach. They have conceded 1.48 goals per match, which could be a concern against Bahia's attacking prowess. However, their average of 5.94 corners per game suggests they can create set-piece opportunities.
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, Bahia has had the upper hand, often leveraging their home advantage. Fortaleza will need to improve their away form to challenge Bahia effectively.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bahia
- Willian José: With 9 goals this season, he is Bahia's top scorer and a key threat in attack.
- Luciano Juba: Contributing 5 goals, his performance will be crucial in breaking down Fortaleza's defense.
Fortaleza
- Breno Lopes: Leading the scoring for Fortaleza with 5 goals, he will be pivotal in their attacking efforts.
- João Ricardo: His defensive contributions will be vital in keeping Bahia's attackers at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Bahia averages 1.31 goals per game compared to Fortaleza's 0.94, highlighting a clear offensive edge.
- Defensive Metrics: Bahia's defense is slightly more robust, conceding 1.19 goals per game against Fortaleza's 1.48.
- Possession and Passing: Bahia's higher possession (53.78%) and passing accuracy (403.56 successful passes per game) could dominate the midfield battle.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Bahia is favored to win this match. Their superior offensive and defensive metrics, combined with home advantage, make them the likely victors. Key factors such as Willian José's goal-scoring form and Bahia's solid defensive record could be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Bahia 2-1 Fortaleza Half Time Score Prediction: Bahia 1-0 Fortaleza Probability of Both Teams to Score: 50% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 53%
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