MATCH OVERVIEW
Bahia and Internacional are gearing up for a pivotal Brazil Série A match that could shape their season trajectories. Bahia, playing at home, will look to leverage their slight edge in possession and offensive capabilities against Internacional, who have shown resilience in away games. The match, set to take place on October 22, 2025, at 22:00 UTC, is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Bahia favored at 1.83, indicating a 54.6% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 3.22, translating to a 31.1% chance, while Internacional's odds of 3.76 reflect a 26.6% probability of an away victory. These odds highlight Bahia's home advantage but also suggest a closely contested game.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bahia has been consistent this season, with a possession rate of 53.04% and an average of 1.31 goals per match. Their ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities will be key against Internacional, who average 1.22 goals per game and possess a slightly lower possession rate of 50.3%. Bahia's defensive solidity, conceding 1.15 goals per match, will be tested by Internacional's attacking prowess, led by Alan Patrick.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bahia's Luciano Juba and Willian José, both with 5 goals this season, will be crucial in breaking down Internacional's defense. On the other hand, Internacional's Alan Patrick, with 9 goals, poses a significant threat to Bahia's backline. The midfield battle between Bahia's Erick Pulga and Internacional's Alexandro Bernabei could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Bahia's offensive metrics, including 11.77 shots per game and 4 shots on target, highlight their attacking intent. Internacional, with 12.37 shots per game, will look to capitalize on their slightly higher shot accuracy. Defensively, Bahia's 36.69 interceptions per match could disrupt Internacional's attacking flow, while Internacional's 6.04 clearances per game will be vital in thwarting Bahia's advances.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the data, Bahia's home advantage and slightly superior possession and defensive stats suggest they might edge out Internacional. However, Internacional's attacking capabilities, led by Alan Patrick, cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Bahia's ability to convert possession into goals and Internacional's counter-attacking efficiency. Final score prediction: Bahia 2-1 Internacional.
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