MATCH OVERVIEW
Bahia and Mirassol are gearing up for an exciting Brazil Série A match that holds significant implications for both teams. Bahia, playing at home, will be keen to leverage their advantage and secure vital points. Meanwhile, Mirassol, despite being the underdogs, will aim to defy expectations and claim a surprise victory. The match is set to take place at Bahia's home stadium on April 13, 2025, at 19:00.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a Bahia victory, with odds of 1.5 indicating a 66.7% probability. The draw is priced at 3.63, translating to a 27.5% chance, while Mirassol's odds of 6.03 reflect a mere 16.6% probability of winning. Based on these odds, Bahia is expected to dominate, but Mirassol's potential for an upset should not be entirely discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bahia's current form shows a team with solid defensive capabilities, conceding only 1 goal per match and maintaining a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 100%. Their possession rate of 43% suggests a counter-attacking style, complemented by an average of 12 shots per game. Mirassol, on the other hand, boasts a higher possession rate of 54% and a more aggressive offensive approach, averaging 15 shots per match. Head-to-head, Bahia's defensive solidity may counter Mirassol's attacking prowess.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bahia's Luciano Juba and Gilberto are standout performers, with Gilberto contributing 1 goal this season. Mirassol's Lucas Ramon, also with 1 goal, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. The matchup between Bahia's defensive stalwarts and Mirassol's offensive threats will be pivotal in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Bahia's defensive metrics, including 40 interceptions and a low Expected Goals Against of 0.59, highlight their ability to thwart opposition attacks. Mirassol's offensive stats, such as 2.24 Expected Goals and 6 shots on target per game, indicate their potential to breach Bahia's defense. The statistical advantage lies with Bahia's defense, but Mirassol's attacking stats suggest they could pose a significant threat.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the data, Bahia is favored to win, with their defensive strengths likely to neutralize Mirassol's attacking threats. Key factors include Bahia's home advantage and their ability to maintain defensive discipline. The final score prediction is a 2-1 victory for Bahia, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are expected to score, with a 100% probability, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 100%.