MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol and Fluminense are set to face off in a Brazil Série A match that could have significant implications for their standings in the league. Mirassol, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue to secure a win against Fluminense. The match is scheduled for October 9, 2025, and will be a key fixture as both teams look to improve their positions in the league.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mirassol slightly favored at 2.21, while Fluminense's odds stand at 3.04, and a draw at 3.02. This indicates a probability of approximately 45% for a Mirassol win, 33% for a draw, and 32% for a Fluminense victory. The odds reflect the competitive nature of the match, with Mirassol's home advantage playing a role in their slight favoritism.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol has shown decent form this season, with an average of 1.68 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.76%. Their ability to score is complemented by a solid defense, conceding only 1 goal per game. Fluminense, on the other hand, has a higher possession rate of 53.04% but has struggled to convert this into goals, averaging 1.25 goals per match. Both teams have similar statistics in terms of over 2.5 goals and both teams to score percentages, indicating a potential for goals in this match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Reinaldo has been a standout performer for Mirassol, scoring 9 goals this season, while Francisco da Costa has contributed 6 goals. For Fluminense, Germán Cano has been a key player with 6 goals, supported by Kevin Serna and Hércules, each with 3 goals. The matchup between Reinaldo and Cano could be pivotal in determining the outcome of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Mirassol's offensive metrics, including 12.28 shots per game and 4.6 shots on target, highlight their attacking prowess. Fluminense's defensive capabilities, with an average of 5.92 clearances and 2.33 goalkeeper saves, will be crucial in countering Mirassol's attacks. Both teams have similar ratings in duels and successful dribbles, suggesting a balanced contest.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Mirassol's home advantage and slightly better offensive statistics give them a slight edge in this match. However, Fluminense's possession and passing accuracy could pose a challenge. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Mirassol potentially edging out Fluminense in a narrow victory. Final score prediction: Mirassol 2-1 Fluminense.
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