MATCH OVERVIEW
The Brazil Série B match between Amazonas and Operário PR is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure a victory. Amazonas, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Arena da Amazônia to gain an advantage over their opponents. Meanwhile, Operário PR will aim to capitalize on their recent form and away performance to challenge the hosts.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Amazonas having odds of 2.56 to win, Operário PR at 2.85, and a draw at 3.03. This indicates a balanced probability distribution, with Amazonas having a slight edge due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 39%, while an away win is at 35%, and a draw at 26%.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Amazonas
Amazonas have had a mixed season, with an average of 0.5 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.38%. Their defensive statistics show a conceded goals average of 1.25, indicating potential vulnerabilities at the back. However, their dribbling success rate of 12.38 per match highlights their ability to create opportunities.
Operário PR
Operário PR have shown stronger offensive capabilities, averaging 1.25 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 54.38%. Their defensive solidity is reflected in their conceded goals average of 1, and their expected goals against of 0.73, suggesting a well-organized backline.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with Amazonas often struggling against Operário PR's structured play. The tactical approach of both teams will be crucial, with Amazonas likely to focus on counter-attacks, while Operário PR may dominate possession.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Amazonas
- Luan Silva: With 3 goals this season, Silva is a key attacking threat for Amazonas.
- Zé Carlos: His performance rating of 144.87 points highlights his influence in the midfield.
Operário PR
- Daniel Amorim: Also with 3 goals, Amorim is a pivotal figure in Operário PR's attack.
- Boschilia: His 123.04 points and 2 goals make him a versatile player to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Amazonas average 12 shots per match, with 3.88 on target.
- Operário PR average 12.75 shots, with 4.13 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Amazonas have a higher interception rate at 38.75 compared to Operário PR's 41.38.
- Operário PR's expected goals against is significantly lower at 0.73.
Possession and Passing
- Operário PR's passing accuracy is superior, with 349 successful passes per match.
- Amazonas average 279 successful passes, indicating room for improvement.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Operário PR appears to have a slight edge due to their offensive and defensive metrics. However, Amazonas' home advantage and key players could turn the tide. The match-winning factors will likely include Amazonas' ability to exploit counter-attacks and Operário PR's possession control.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Amazonas 1-2 Operário PR
- Half Time: Amazonas 0-1 Operário PR
The probability for both teams to score is at 50%, with a 37.5% chance for over 2.5 goals. This match is expected to be closely contested, with Operário PR slightly favored to win.