Match Overview
The upcoming Super League match between Shanghai Port and Changchun Yatai is set to be a thrilling encounter. Shanghai Port, known for their attacking prowess, will host Changchun Yatai, who are looking to improve their defensive record. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league standings early in the season.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Shanghai Port, with a home win priced at 1.44, a draw at 4.14, and an away win at 7.21. This translates to a probability of approximately 69.4% for a Shanghai Port victory, 24.2% for a draw, and just 13.9% for a Changchun Yatai win. Based on these odds, Shanghai Port is expected to dominate the match.
Team Analysis
Shanghai Port
- Current Form: Shanghai Port has shown impressive form, averaging 3 goals per match and maintaining a 100% record in both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
- Strengths: High possession (56%), strong offensive metrics with 16 shots per game, and a solid defensive record with only 1 goal conceded on average.
- Weaknesses: Occasional lapses in defense, as indicated by dangerous own half losses.
Changchun Yatai
- Current Form: Struggling defensively, conceding 2 goals per match, and lower possession (37%).
- Strengths: High interception rate (71 per match) and competitive in duels.
- Weaknesses: Limited offensive output with only 4 shots per game and a high expected goals against (3.66).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Shanghai Port has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Changchun Yatai. The tactical approach of Shanghai Port, focusing on high possession and attacking play, has consistently troubled Changchun Yatai's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
Shanghai Port
- Gustavo: Leading the attack with 2 goals this season, his form will be crucial.
- Matheus Jussa: A key figure in midfield, contributing both defensively and offensively.
Changchun Yatai
- Long Tan: The main goal threat, having scored 1 goal this season.
- Yake Wu: A standout performer in defense, his role will be vital in containing Shanghai Port's attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Shanghai Port averages 16 shots per game compared to Changchun Yatai's 4, highlighting their attacking dominance.
- Defensive Metrics: Changchun Yatai's higher interception rate (71) suggests a proactive defensive approach, but their high expected goals against indicates vulnerability.
- Possession and Passing: Shanghai Port's superior possession (56%) and passing accuracy (438 successful passes) give them a clear advantage in controlling the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and current form, Shanghai Port is likely to secure a victory. Their offensive strength and home advantage are significant factors. Changchun Yatai will need to improve defensively to stand a chance.
- Final Score Prediction: Shanghai Port 3-1 Changchun Yatai
- Match-Winning Factors: Shanghai Port's attacking depth and possession control.
- Key Points Summary: Shanghai Port's offensive prowess, Changchun Yatai's defensive challenges, and key player performances will shape the outcome.