Match Overview
Shanghai Port, currently enjoying a strong season, will face Meizhou Hakka in a crucial Super League match. With Shanghai Port's impressive home record and Meizhou Hakka's determination to upset the odds, this fixture is pivotal for both teams' aspirations.
Odds Analysis
The odds heavily favor Shanghai Port with a 1.22 chance of winning, translating to an 82% probability. The draw stands at 6.07, offering a 16% chance, while Meizhou Hakka's victory is least likely at 9.48, equating to a mere 10% probability. Given these odds, Shanghai Port is expected to dominate, but Meizhou Hakka's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Shanghai Port
- Current Form: Shanghai Port has been consistent, averaging 2.67 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 60.33%.
- Strengths: High possession and offensive capabilities, with 19 shots per game and a strong passing game.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, conceding 1.33 goals per match.
Meizhou Hakka
- Current Form: Averaging 2.33 goals per match, Meizhou Hakka has shown offensive prowess but struggles defensively.
- Strengths: Effective in duels and interceptions, with a high rate of successful tackles.
- Weaknesses: Low possession rate at 39% and high goals conceded.
Head-to-Head
Shanghai Port has historically dominated Meizhou Hakka, with superior offensive and defensive metrics. However, Meizhou Hakka's recent form suggests they could challenge Shanghai Port's defense.
Tactical Approaches
Shanghai Port is likely to employ a possession-based strategy, leveraging their passing accuracy and offensive depth. Meizhou Hakka may focus on counter-attacks and set-pieces, exploiting Shanghai Port's defensive gaps.
Key Players Spotlight
Shanghai Port
- Gustavo: Leading scorer with 3 goals, crucial in offensive plays.
- Xinxiang Li: Key playmaker with high points contribution.
Meizhou Hakka
- Chaosheng Yang: Top scorer with 3 goals, vital for breaking through defenses.
- Rodrigo Henrique: Influential in midfield, providing stability and creativity.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Shanghai Port averages 2.67 goals and 6.33 shots on target per match, while Meizhou Hakka averages 2.33 goals and 4.33 shots on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Shanghai Port's expected goals against is 0.95, indicating a solid defense compared to Meizhou Hakka's 3.38.
Prediction and Conclusion
Shanghai Port is favored to win, given their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Key factors include their possession dominance and goal-scoring ability. Meizhou Hakka's chances hinge on exploiting defensive lapses and capitalizing on set-pieces.
Final Score Prediction: Shanghai Port 3-1 Meizhou Hakka Half Time Score Prediction: Shanghai Port 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 80%