The upcoming League 1 match between Exeter City and Shrewsbury Town is pivotal for both teams as they aim to climb the league table. Exeter City, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their slight edge in possession and attacking prowess, while Shrewsbury Town will aim to leverage their defensive strengths to secure a favorable result. With both teams having similar seasonal statistics, this match is expected to be closely contested.
Odds Analysis The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Exeter City having a slight edge as the home team. The odds are as follows:
- Exeter City Win: 2.21
- Draw: 3.44
- Shrewsbury Town Win: 3.18
These odds translate to the following probabilities:
- Exeter City Win: 45.25%
- Draw: 29.07%
- Shrewsbury Town Win: 31.45%
Based on these probabilities, Exeter City is favored to win, but the possibility of a draw or a Shrewsbury Town victory cannot be discounted.
Team Analysis Exeter City has shown a balanced performance this season, with a possession rate of 52.72% and an average of 1.09 goals per match. Their defense, however, has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.56 goals per game. Shrewsbury Town, on the other hand, has a lower possession rate of 41.65% but has been more effective in duels, with a higher success rate in tackles and interceptions.
Head-to-head statistics reveal a competitive history between the two teams, with neither side having a clear dominance. Exeter City's tactical approach will likely focus on maintaining possession and creating opportunities through their midfield, while Shrewsbury Town may adopt a more counter-attacking strategy, relying on their defensive solidity.
Key Players Spotlight For Exeter City, Millenic Alli has been a standout performer, scoring 9 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Exeter's attacking efforts. On the defensive end, Angus MacDonald and Pierce Sweeney have been key figures, contributing significantly to the team's overall performance.
Shrewsbury Town's John Marquis, with 8 goals, will be the main threat to Exeter's defense. His partnership with George Lloyd, who has scored 5 goals, could pose significant challenges for Exeter's backline. Defensively, Mal Benning and Josh Feeney have been instrumental in maintaining Shrewsbury's defensive structure.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Exeter City averages 8.75 shots per game, with 2.72 on target.
- Shrewsbury Town averages 8.47 shots per game, with 2.79 on target.
- Exeter City's expected goals (xG) is 1.04, while Shrewsbury Town's is slightly higher at 1.13.
- Defensively, Shrewsbury Town has a higher interception rate, averaging 44.94 per game compared to Exeter's 38.91.
These statistics suggest that while Exeter City may have a slight edge in possession and attacking play, Shrewsbury Town's defensive capabilities could neutralize their efforts.
Prediction and Conclusion Considering the statistical analysis and current form, Exeter City is slightly favored to win this match. However, Shrewsbury Town's defensive strengths and ability to capitalize on counter-attacks could lead to a closely contested game. Key factors such as Millenic Alli's goal-scoring form and Shrewsbury's defensive resilience will likely determine the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Exeter City 2-1 Shrewsbury Town Half Time Score Prediction: Exeter City 1-0 Shrewsbury Town Probability for Both Teams to Score: 55% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 52%