Match Overview
Ajaccio and Red Star face off in a pivotal Ligue 2 match that could shape their respective campaigns. Ajaccio, currently struggling to find consistency, will be keen to leverage their home advantage. Meanwhile, Red Star, with a slightly better form, will aim to exploit Ajaccio's defensive vulnerabilities.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are: Home 2.21, Draw 2.89, Away 3.45. These odds suggest a tight contest, with Ajaccio having a slight edge due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 45.2%, while a draw is at 34.6%, and an away win at 29%.
Team Analysis
Ajaccio
- Current Form: Ajaccio has shown inconsistency, with a low goal-scoring rate of 0.84 goals per match.
- Strengths: Strong in duels with an average of 204.24 per match.
- Weaknesses: Struggle in attack with only 3.2 shots on target per game.
Red Star
- Current Form: Red Star has a slightly better offensive record with 1.04 goals per match.
- Strengths: Better possession stats at 52.32% and more successful passes.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, conceding 1.6 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two sides have been closely contested, with neither team dominating the other.
Tactical Approaches
Ajaccio may focus on a defensive setup, looking to counter-attack, while Red Star might aim to control possession and exploit spaces in Ajaccio's defense.
Key Players Spotlight
Ajaccio
- Abou Kanté & Moussa Soumano: Both have scored 4 goals this season, crucial for Ajaccio's attack.
- François-Joseph Sollacaro: Key defensive player with 152.69 points.
Red Star
- Aliou Badji: Top scorer with 6 goals, pivotal in Red Star's offensive play.
- Robin Risser: Defensive stalwart with 287.13 points.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Red Star leads with more shots (9.8) and higher expected goals (1.26).
- Defensive Metrics: Ajaccio has better interception stats (41.52) but concedes fewer goals (1.2).
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Ajaccio's home advantage and Red Star's superior offensive stats suggest a closely fought match. Key factors will include Ajaccio's ability to capitalize on counter-attacks and Red Star's possession play.
Final Score Prediction: Ajaccio 1-1 Red Star Half Time Score Prediction: Ajaccio 0-0 Red Star Both Teams to Score Probability: 40% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%