MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between 1860 München and Erzgebirge Aue is set to be a pivotal clash as both teams aim to finish the season on a high note. With 1860 München hosting the game at the Grünwalder Stadion, they will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage. Scheduled for May 17, 2025, at 11:30 AM, this match holds significant importance in the league standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for 1860 München, with odds of 1.96 for a home win, 3.66 for a draw, and 3.53 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 51% for a home victory, 27% for a draw, and 28% for an away win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with 1860 München favored to secure the win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
1860 München
- Current Form: 1860 München has played 37 matches this season, showcasing a strong offensive presence with an average of 1.51 goals per game.
- Strengths: High goal-scoring ability, with a 70.27% rate of matches featuring over 2.5 goals.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.62 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, 1860 München has had mixed results against Erzgebirge Aue, making this encounter unpredictable.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Current Form: Erzgebirge Aue has played 36 matches, with a balanced approach in both attack and defense.
- Strengths: Solid possession stats, averaging 50.61% per game.
- Weaknesses: Slightly higher goals conceded, averaging 1.69 per game.
- Head-to-Head: Erzgebirge Aue will aim to exploit 1860 München's defensive lapses.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
1860 München
- Patrick Hobsch: Leading goal scorer with 11 goals, crucial for 1860 München's attacking strategy.
- Julian Guttau: Contributed 8 goals, adding depth to the offensive lineup.
Erzgebirge Aue
- Marcel Bär: Top scorer with 11 goals, pivotal in breaking down defenses.
- Marvin Stefaniak: Key playmaker with 8 goals, enhancing Erzgebirge Aue's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: 1860 München averages 11.08 shots per game, with 4.65 on target, while Erzgebirge Aue averages 10 shots, with 3.72 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Erzgebirge Aue has a slight edge in interceptions, averaging 41.19 compared to 1860 München's 45.08.
- Possession and Passing: Erzgebirge Aue leads in successful passes, averaging 334.86 per game, compared to 1860 München's 285.73.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, 1860 München is likely to leverage their home advantage and offensive capabilities to secure a win. Key factors include their higher goal-scoring rate and the impact of players like Patrick Hobsch. However, Erzgebirge Aue's solid possession and passing game could pose challenges.
Final Score Prediction: 1860 München 2-1 Erzgebirge Aue Half Time Score Prediction: 1860 München 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%