MATCH OVERVIEW
Erzgebirge Aue will host Ingolstadt in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could shape the trajectory of their season. With both teams having played 15 matches, they are keen to secure a win to bolster their league positions. Erzgebirge Aue, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with Erzgebirgsstadion to gain an advantage over Ingolstadt.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds suggest a closely contested match, with Erzgebirge Aue having a 2.65 chance of winning, while Ingolstadt is slightly favored at 2.4. The draw is priced at 3.5, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 37.7% for Aue, 41.7% for Ingolstadt, and 28.6% for a draw.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Erzgebirge Aue
- Current Form: Erzgebirge Aue has shown mixed results this season, with a moderate goal-scoring record.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate of 77.1% and a solid interception average of 39.87 per game.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.53 goals per match and a lower possession rate of 49.07%.
Ingolstadt
- Current Form: Ingolstadt has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.6 goals per match.
- Strengths: High possession rate of 51.6% and a strong offensive rating of 439.04.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to conceding goals, with an average of 1.47 per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with Ingolstadt often edging out Aue in recent matches.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Erzgebirge Aue
- Julian Guttau: Leading scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Aue's attacking play.
- Martin Männel: Key defensive player with 126.89 points.
Ingolstadt
- Marcel Costly: Top performer with 177.63 points and 4 goals.
- Dennis Kaygin: Another key goal scorer with 4 goals.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Ingolstadt's expected goals of 1.99 surpass Aue's 1.23, indicating a stronger attacking threat.
- Defensive Metrics: Aue's interceptions and clearances are slightly better, but Ingolstadt's defensive rating is higher.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Ingolstadt appears to have a slight edge over Erzgebirge Aue. Their superior offensive capabilities and possession stats could be decisive.
Final Score Prediction
Ingolstadt to win 2-1, with a half-time score of 1-1. Both teams are likely to score, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
Todas as previsões, dicas de apostas e odds fornecidas nesta página são geradas usando modelos baseados em dados e análise de especialistas. Embora nos esforcemos para ser precisos, nenhuma previsão pode garantir resultados. Os resultados do futebol são influenciados por numerosos fatores imprevisíveis como lesões, clima e decisões da equipe. Por favor, use nosso conteúdo apenas para fins informativos e não como aconselhamento financeiro.
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