MATCH OVERVIEW
Ingolstadt and Ulm are set to face off in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could shape the trajectory of their seasons. Ingolstadt, currently showcasing a solid form, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage at the Audi Sportpark. Meanwhile, Ulm, known for their competitive spirit, will strive to secure an away victory. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to climb the league table and establish themselves as serious contenders.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Ingolstadt, with a home win priced at 1.99. The probability of a draw stands at 3.74, while an away win for Ulm is at 3.1. These odds indicate a competitive match, with Ingolstadt having a 50.3% chance of winning, Ulm a 32.3% chance, and a draw at 26.7%. Based on these figures, Ingolstadt is favored to win, but Ulm's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ingolstadt has been impressive this season, with a strong offensive record, averaging 1.63 goals per match and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 87.5%. Their possession rate of 52.88% and expected goals of 2.05 highlight their attacking prowess. However, their defense has been somewhat vulnerable, conceding 1.5 goals per game.
Ulm, on the other hand, has shown resilience, with a Both Teams To Score percentage of 85.71% and an average of 1.43 goals per match. Their defensive statistics, including 1.71 goals conceded per game, suggest areas for improvement. Ulm's ability to intercept and tackle successfully will be crucial in countering Ingolstadt's attacks.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ingolstadt's Yann Sturm, with 3 goals this season, will be a key player to watch. His ability to find the net could be decisive. Max Besuschkow and Marcel Costly, both with 2 goals, will also be instrumental in Ingolstadt's offensive strategy.
For Ulm, Elias Löder, who has scored 3 goals, will be pivotal in their attacking efforts. Dominik Martinovic, with a high performance rating, will be essential in both creating and converting chances.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Ingolstadt's offensive metrics, including 14.88 shots per game and 5.75 on target, demonstrate their attacking strength. Their expected goals against of 1.53 indicates a need for defensive solidity.
Ulm's statistics reveal a balanced approach, with 14.29 shots per game and a slightly lower shots on target rate. Their defensive metrics, such as 41.57 interceptions, will be crucial in disrupting Ingolstadt's play.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the data, Ingolstadt is likely to leverage their home advantage and offensive capabilities to secure a win. However, Ulm's resilience and ability to score could lead to a closely contested match. Key factors will include Ingolstadt's ability to maintain possession and Ulm's defensive interceptions.
Final Score Prediction: Ingolstadt 2-1 Ulm Half Time Score Prediction: Ingolstadt 1-0 Ulm Probability of Both Teams to Score: 85% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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