MATCH OVERVIEW
The Bundesliga 2 clash between Ulm and Hertha BSC is set to be an exciting fixture, with both teams eager to secure vital points. Ulm, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Donaustadion to challenge Hertha BSC, who are currently positioned higher in the league standings. This match is crucial for Ulm as they aim to improve their league position, while Hertha BSC seeks to maintain their momentum and push for promotion.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Hertha BSC with an average of 2.14, indicating a higher probability of an away win. Ulm's odds stand at 3.21, suggesting they are the underdogs, while the draw is priced at 3.37. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 46.7% for Hertha BSC to win, 29.2% for Ulm, and 24.1% for a draw. Given Hertha's stronger form and higher league position, they are expected to have the upper hand.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ulm
- Current Form: Ulm has struggled this season, with a modest average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 46.03%.
- Strengths: Ulm's ability to score in matches where both teams find the net is notable, with a BTTS percentage of 55.17%.
- Weaknesses: Their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 1.21 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Ulm has found it challenging against Hertha BSC, with fewer victories in past encounters.
Hertha BSC
- Current Form: Hertha BSC has been more prolific, averaging 1.48 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 53.17%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a high Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 62.07%.
- Weaknesses: Despite their attacking prowess, they concede 1.55 goals per game, which could be exploited by Ulm.
- Head-to-Head: Hertha BSC has a favorable record against Ulm, often coming out on top in previous meetings.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ulm
- Semir Telalovic: Leading the scoring charts for Ulm with 10 goals, Telalovic will be crucial in breaking Hertha's defense.
- Oliver Batista Meier: With 130.43 points, Meier's creativity and goal-scoring ability are vital for Ulm's attacking play.
Hertha BSC
- Fabian Reese: A key player for Hertha, Reese has scored 7 goals and amassed 242.65 points, making him a significant threat.
- Michaël Cuisance: With 6 goals and 175.98 points, Cuisance's midfield presence and scoring ability are pivotal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Hertha BSC leads with 12.38 shots per game compared to Ulm's 10.93, indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Ulm's interceptions average at 43.48, showcasing their defensive efforts, while Hertha's is lower at 38.
- Possession and Passing: Hertha BSC's superior possession (53.17%) and passing accuracy (361.45 successful passes) give them a tactical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hertha BSC is likely to dominate the match, leveraging their offensive strength and higher possession rates. Ulm's chances hinge on exploiting Hertha's defensive vulnerabilities and capitalizing on set-pieces. The key factors will be Hertha's attacking prowess and Ulm's ability to counter effectively.
Final Score Prediction: Hertha BSC 2-1 Ulm Half Time Score Prediction: Hertha BSC 1-0 Ulm Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%