MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie A match between Como and Fiorentina is set to take place at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia on February 14, 2026. This fixture is crucial for both teams as they seek to climb the league table and secure a better position in the standings. Como, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their strong form, while Fiorentina aims to challenge them with their tactical prowess.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Como favored at 1.69, a draw at 3.78, and Fiorentina at 4.7. These odds imply a 59.2% probability of a Como victory, a 26.5% chance of a draw, and a 21.3% likelihood of a Fiorentina win. Given these probabilities, Como is expected to have the upper hand, but Fiorentina's potential to upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Como has shown impressive form this season, with an average of 1.61 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.7 goals on average. Their possession rate of 61.13% indicates a dominant style of play. In contrast, Fiorentina has struggled defensively, conceding 1.57 goals per game, but they have a higher Both Teams To Score percentage at 69.57%, suggesting they can find the net even against strong defenses.
Head-to-head, Como's home advantage and superior defensive stats give them an edge, but Fiorentina's ability to score in most matches keeps them in contention. Tactically, Como will likely focus on maintaining possession and exploiting Fiorentina's defensive vulnerabilities, while Fiorentina may rely on counter-attacks and set-pieces.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Como, Nico Paz and Anastasios Douvikas are key players, each having scored 8 goals this season. Their ability to convert chances will be crucial. Fiorentina's Rolando Mandragora, with 6 goals, and Moise Kean, with 5 goals, are their main threats. The matchup between Como's solid defense and Fiorentina's attacking duo will be pivotal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Como averages 13.83 shots per game with 5.22 on target, while Fiorentina averages 12.35 shots with 3.43 on target.
- Como's Expected Goals (xG) is 1.74 compared to Fiorentina's 1.53, indicating a slight offensive edge for Como.
- Defensively, Como's Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1, significantly better than Fiorentina's 1.57, highlighting Como's defensive strength.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Como is favored to win this match, leveraging their home advantage and superior defensive record. Key factors include Como's ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities, while Fiorentina's chances hinge on their attacking players' performance. The predicted final score is 2-1 in favor of Como, with a halftime score of 1-0. The probability of both teams scoring is high at 69.57%, and there's a 60.87% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Todas as previsões, dicas de apostas e odds fornecidas nesta página são geradas usando modelos baseados em dados e análise de especialistas. Embora nos esforcemos para ser precisos, nenhuma previsão pode garantir resultados. Os resultados do futebol são influenciados por numerosos fatores imprevisíveis como lesões, clima e decisões da equipe. Por favor, use nosso conteúdo apenas para fins informativos e não como aconselhamento financeiro.
<0>Predictions.GG não promove nem incentiva o jogo. Se você optar por fazer apostas, faça-o de forma responsável e certifique-se de que está em conformidade com as leis e regulamentos do seu país. Para obter ajuda com problemas de jogo, visite <1>BeGambleAware.org ou seu serviço de apoio local.