MATCH OVERVIEW
Genoa and Parma are set to face off in a crucial Serie A match that could have significant implications for their season trajectories. Genoa, playing at home, will be looking to capitalize on their familiar surroundings to gain an edge over Parma. Both teams have had a mixed start to the season, and this match presents an opportunity to gain momentum.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight advantage for Genoa, with odds of 1.9 for a home win, compared to 3.98 for an away win and 3.4 for a draw. This translates to a probability of approximately 52.6% for Genoa to win, 25.1% for Parma, and 29.4% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Genoa favored to edge out Parma.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Genoa
Genoa's current form shows a team struggling to find consistency, with an average of 0.4 goals per match and a possession rate of 50.8%. Their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game. However, their expected goals (xG) of 1.29 suggest potential for improvement in attack.
Parma
Parma has shown slightly better offensive capabilities, averaging 0.6 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 45%. Their defense has been more solid, conceding 1.2 goals per game, and their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.24 indicates a well-organized backline.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Genoa
- Caleb Ekuban and Mikael Egill Ellertsson have each scored 1 goal this season, and their performance will be crucial for Genoa's attacking prospects.
- Brooke Norton-Cuffy, with 245.82 points, is a key player in defense.
Parma
- Mateo Pellegrino, with 2 goals, is Parma's top scorer and will be a threat to Genoa's defense.
- Emanuele Valeri, with 285.15 points, is a standout performer in Parma's lineup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Genoa averages 9.6 shots per game, with 3.6 on target, while Parma averages 10.6 shots, with 3 on target.
- Genoa's defensive rating of 426.01 is lower than Parma's 519.15, indicating a potential advantage for Parma in defensive solidity.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Genoa has a slight edge due to their home advantage and higher expected goals. However, Parma's solid defense and key players like Mateo Pellegrino could make the difference. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Genoa potentially securing a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Genoa 1-0 Parma Half Time Score Prediction: Genoa 0-0 Parma Probability for Both Teams to Score: 40% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 30%
Todas as previsões, dicas de apostas e odds fornecidas nesta página são geradas usando modelos baseados em dados e análise de especialistas. Embora nos esforcemos para ser precisos, nenhuma previsão pode garantir resultados. Os resultados do futebol são influenciados por numerosos fatores imprevisíveis como lesões, clima e decisões da equipe. Por favor, use nosso conteúdo apenas para fins informativos e não como aconselhamento financeiro.
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