MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie A match between Parma and Bologna is set to be a crucial fixture in the league calendar. With Bologna currently enjoying a better run of form, they will be eager to secure three points against a struggling Parma side. The match will take place at Parma's home stadium, providing them with a slight advantage in terms of familiar surroundings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest Bologna as the favorites with odds of 2.03, indicating a 49.3% probability of an away win. Parma, on the other hand, has odds of 3.91, translating to a 25.6% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 2.98, with a 33.6% probability. These odds reflect Bologna's superior form and higher league position.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Parma
Parma's season has been challenging, with an average of 0.38 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.13%. Their defensive statistics show a conceded goals average of 0.88, indicating some resilience at the back. However, their offensive struggles are evident with only 2.5 shots on target per game.
Bologna
Bologna has been more prolific, averaging 1.57 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 58.29%. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by 4 shots on target per game and a higher expected goals average of 1.34. Defensively, they have conceded only 0.71 goals per match, showcasing their solidity.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Bologna has had the upper hand in this fixture, often coming out on top in recent encounters. Their tactical approach, focusing on possession and quick transitions, has proven effective against Parma's more defensive setup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Parma
- Mateo Pellegrino: With 2 goals this season, Pellegrino is Parma's leading scorer and will be crucial in breaking Bologna's defense.
- Zion Suzuki: His defensive contributions have been vital, with an impressive points tally.
Bologna
- Riccardo Orsolini: Leading Bologna's attack with 5 goals, Orsolini's form will be key in penetrating Parma's defense.
- Nicolò Cambiaghi: His creative play and goal-scoring ability add depth to Bologna's offensive strategies.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Parma: Average of 9 shots per game, with a low conversion rate, and 3.25 goalkeeper saves per match.
- Bologna: Higher shot average of 11.71, with better conversion and defensive metrics, including 5.14 clearances per game.
Statistical Advantages
Bologna's superior possession and passing accuracy give them a clear edge, while Parma's defensive resilience could be a factor in keeping the scoreline tight.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Bologna is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Parma's defense will be tested, but their home advantage could play a role in a closer contest than expected.
Final Score Prediction
Bologna to win 2-1, with a half-time score of 1-0 in favor of Bologna. The probability of both teams scoring is 60%, with a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
Todas as previsões, dicas de apostas e odds fornecidas nesta página são geradas usando modelos baseados em dados e análise de especialistas. Embora nos esforcemos para ser precisos, nenhuma previsão pode garantir resultados. Os resultados do futebol são influenciados por numerosos fatores imprevisíveis como lesões, clima e decisões da equipe. Por favor, use nosso conteúdo apenas para fins informativos e não como aconselhamento financeiro.
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