Match Overview
The upcoming Serie B match between Frosinone and Brescia is set to be a pivotal clash in the league. Both teams have shown competitive form throughout the season, making this encounter crucial for their aspirations. Frosinone, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage, while Brescia will look to disrupt their plans and secure valuable points.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Frosinone slightly favored at 2.39, Brescia at 3.65, and a draw at 2.52. This indicates a probability of approximately 41.8% for a Frosinone win, 27.4% for Brescia, and 30.8% for a draw. The odds reflect the competitive nature of both teams, with Frosinone having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
Team Analysis
Frosinone
- Current Form: Frosinone has played 28 matches this season, with a mixed record of results.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 47.29% and successful dribbles (18.57) highlight their ability to control the game.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.43 goals per match indicates defensive vulnerabilities.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Frosinone has had a balanced record against Brescia, making this match unpredictable.
Brescia
- Current Form: Brescia has also played 28 matches, showing slightly better offensive stats with 1.11 goals per game.
- Strengths: Brescia's higher successful duels (103.71) and interceptions (40.82) suggest a robust defensive approach.
- Weaknesses: Their possession rate of 47% is slightly lower, which could impact their control in the match.
- Head-to-Head: Brescia has managed to hold their ground against Frosinone in past encounters.
Key Players Spotlight
Frosinone
- Ilario Monterisi: A standout performer with 145.3 points, crucial for Frosinone's defense.
- Giuseppe Ambrosino: With 3 goals, he is a key attacking threat.
Brescia
- Luca Lezzerini: Leading with 162.21 points, his defensive skills are vital.
- Gabriele Moncini: Top scorer with 4 goals, pivotal for Brescia's attack.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Frosinone averages 0.86 goals per game, while Brescia averages 1.11.
- Defensive Metrics: Brescia's conceded goals (1.32) are slightly better than Frosinone's (1.43).
- Possession and Passing: Both teams have similar possession rates, but Brescia's successful passes (294.04) slightly edge Frosinone's (299.79).
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Frosinone's home advantage and Brescia's strong defensive capabilities make this match a tight contest. The key factors will be Frosinone's ability to break Brescia's defense and Brescia's counter-attacking prowess. A draw seems likely, but Frosinone could edge out a narrow victory if they capitalize on their chances.
Final Score Prediction: Frosinone 1-1 Brescia Half Time Score Prediction: Frosinone 0-0 Brescia Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%