The odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Urawa Reds slightly favored to win. The average odds are 2.78 for Albirex Niigata, 3.13 for a draw, and 2.47 for Urawa Reds. This translates to a probability of 36% for a home win, 32% for a draw, and 40% for an away win. Given these odds, Urawa Reds are expected to edge out Albirex Niigata, but the match could swing either way.
Albirex Niigata has shown a mixed form this season, with a moderate goal-scoring record and a possession rate of 51.57%. Their defense has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per match. Urawa Reds, on the other hand, have been more solid defensively, conceding only 0.79 goals per game. Their offensive play is slightly better, averaging 1.21 goals per match.
In terms of head-to-head statistics, Urawa Reds have historically had the upper hand, often outperforming Albirex Niigata in previous encounters. Tactically, Albirex Niigata may focus on maintaining possession and exploiting Urawa's defensive gaps, while Urawa Reds might leverage their strong defensive setup and counter-attacking prowess.
Key players to watch include Albirex's Ken Yamura and Motoki Hasegawa, both of whom have scored 4 goals this season. For Urawa Reds, Ryoma Watanabe is a standout performer with 5 goals, supported by Yusuke Matsuo and Thiago, each contributing 3 goals.
Statistically, Urawa Reds hold an advantage in several areas, including a higher CompaScore Rating of 1747 compared to Albirex's 1463. Their defensive metrics are superior, with more interceptions and fewer goals conceded. Offensively, both teams have similar shot statistics, but Urawa Reds have a slightly higher shots on target rate.
Considering these factors, Urawa Reds are likely to emerge victorious, leveraging their defensive strength and efficient attacking play. However, Albirex Niigata's home advantage and potential for surprise could make this a closely fought contest.