Match Overview
The upcoming J League match between Shonan Bellmare and Vissel Kobe is poised to be a captivating encounter. With both teams striving for a strong finish in the league, this match could play a pivotal role in shaping their respective seasons. Shonan Bellmare, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Vissel Kobe.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are as follows: Shonan Bellmare at 2.92, Draw at 3.27, and Vissel Kobe at 2.24. These odds suggest a competitive match, with Vissel Kobe slightly favored to win. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 34.2%, a draw at 30.6%, and an away win at 44.6%. Based on these odds, Vissel Kobe is expected to have a slight edge, but the match remains open to any outcome.
Team Analysis
Shonan Bellmare
- Current Form: Shonan Bellmare has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.75 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (45.75%), effective dribbling (13.5 successful dribbles per match), and a solid defensive setup with 47.75 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (5.5 per match) and a relatively low pass completion rate.
Vissel Kobe
- Current Form: Vissel Kobe has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.75 goals per match, but they maintain a higher possession rate (55.5%).
- Strengths: Strong in duels (116.25 successful duels per match) and effective in long passes (38.25 successful long passes per match).
- Weaknesses: Lower goal-scoring rate and higher susceptibility to dangerous own half losses (7 per match).
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Vissel Kobe has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Shonan Bellmare's home advantage could level the playing field.
Tactical Approaches
Shonan Bellmare is likely to focus on a defensive strategy, capitalizing on counter-attacks, while Vissel Kobe may aim to control possession and exploit their passing strengths.
Key Players Spotlight
Shonan Bellmare
- A. Suzuki: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals this season, crucial for Shonan's attacking play.
- Sho Fukuda: A key player with 263.1 points, contributing significantly to both defense and attack.
Vissel Kobe
- Yuya Osako: With 2 goals, Osako is pivotal in Vissel Kobe's forward line.
- Daiju Sasaki: A versatile player with 227.76 points, impacting both ends of the pitch.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Shonan Bellmare: Average of 12.5 shots per match with 5.5 on target, indicating a proactive offensive approach.
- Vissel Kobe: Average of 10.75 shots per match with 3.75 on target, showing room for improvement in attack.
Statistical Advantages
- Shonan Bellmare: Higher expected goals (2.04) and a better defensive record with fewer goals conceded (0.75).
- Vissel Kobe: Superior possession and passing accuracy, which could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Vissel Kobe holds a slight advantage due to their superior possession and passing game. However, Shonan Bellmare's strong defensive record and home advantage could prove crucial. The match-winning factors will likely include Shonan's ability to capitalize on counter-attacks and Vissel Kobe's effectiveness in maintaining possession.
Final Score Prediction: Shonan Bellmare 1-2 Vissel Kobe Half Time Score Prediction: Shonan Bellmare 0-1 Vissel Kobe Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%