MATCH OVERVIEW
Jeju United will host Suwon in a pivotal K League 1 match that could have major implications for both teams' standings. As the season progresses, every point becomes crucial, and this match is no exception. Taking place at Jeju United's home stadium, the match is scheduled for September 28, 2025, at 07:30 AM UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match are closely contested, with Jeju United having a slight edge at 2.49 compared to Suwon's 2.51. The draw is priced at 3.3, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities suggest a balanced game, with Jeju United having a 40% chance to win, Suwon at 39%, and a draw at 21%. Given the odds, a closely fought match is expected, with Jeju United slightly favored.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Jeju United has shown consistency in their duels, averaging 203.83 per match, and their defensive capabilities are highlighted by their 4.07 goalkeeper saves per game. However, their goal-scoring has been modest, with an average of 1 goal per match. Suwon, on the other hand, has a slightly better offensive record, averaging 1.43 goals per game and 12.8 shots, indicating a more aggressive approach.
Head-to-head, Jeju United's possession rate of 48.93% is slightly higher than Suwon's 44.57%, suggesting they might control the game more. However, Suwon's higher expected goals (1.49) compared to Jeju's (1.12) could be a decisive factor.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Jeju United's Yuri Jonathan, with 8 goals this season, will be a key player to watch. His ability to find the net could be crucial against Suwon's defense. For Suwon, Pablo Sabbag stands out with 13 goals, making him a significant threat to Jeju's backline.
The matchup between Jeju's Dong-jun Kim and Suwon's Willyan will be interesting, as both players have been influential in their respective teams' performances.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Jeju United's defensive rating of 244.03 and offensive rating of 352.61 show a balanced team, while Suwon's offensive rating of 414.59 indicates a stronger attacking prowess. Jeju's successful passes average 349.87, compared to Suwon's 273.6, suggesting better ball control.
Suwon's higher average of shots on target (4.87) compared to Jeju's (3.5) could be a key factor in determining the match outcome.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Jeju United's home advantage and slightly better odds give them a slight edge. However, Suwon's attacking strength cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely be Jeju's ability to control possession and Suwon's offensive execution.
Final Score Prediction: Jeju United 1-1 Suwon Half Time Score Prediction: Jeju United 0-0 Suwon Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
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