MATCH OVERVIEW
The clash between Atlas and Mazatlán in the Liga MX is set to be a thrilling encounter, with both teams eager to make a mark in the current season. Atlas, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio Jalisco to secure a win. Meanwhile, Mazatlán will be determined to challenge the hosts and climb up the league table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory for Atlas, with odds of 1.6. The probability of a draw stands at 3.65, while an away win for Mazatlán is considered less likely with odds of 5.01. These odds translate to a 62.5% chance of an Atlas win, a 27.4% chance of a draw, and a 20% chance of a Mazatlán victory. Based on these probabilities, Atlas is favored to take the three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Atlas
- Current Form: Atlas has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.3 goals per match and a possession rate of 41%.
- Strengths: Their ability to score, with Uros Djurdjevic leading the charge with 8 goals, is a key strength.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an average of 1.85 goals conceded per match.
Mazatlán
- Current Form: Mazatlán has been slightly more prolific in attack, averaging 1.15 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their offensive play is supported by a higher possession rate of 43.8% and a better dribbling success rate.
- Weaknesses: Similar to Atlas, Mazatlán struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
In previous encounters, Atlas has generally had the upper hand, but Mazatlán has shown they can compete closely.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Atlas: Uros Djurdjevic is a standout performer with 8 goals this season, while Camilo Vargas has been crucial in goal.
- Mazatlán: Facundo Almada, with 5 goals, and Nicolás Benedetti, with 3 goals, are key attacking threats.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Atlas averages 9.1 shots per game, slightly higher than Mazatlán's 8.55.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive records, with Atlas making 3.85 saves per game compared to Mazatlán's 3.25.
- Possession and Passing: Mazatlán edges out Atlas in possession and passing accuracy, which could be pivotal.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Atlas is likely to secure a victory at home. Key factors include their attacking prowess and home advantage. However, Mazatlán's ability to score could make this a competitive match. Expect a closely contested game with Atlas emerging victorious.
Final Score Prediction: Atlas 2-1 Mazatlán Half Time Score Prediction: Atlas 1-0 Mazatlán Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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