Match Overview
The upcoming Liga MX match between Mazatlán and Cruz Azul is more than just a regular fixture; it's a crucial battle that could shape the trajectory of both teams' seasons. With Cruz Azul sitting higher in the standings, they are keen to maintain their momentum, while Mazatlán is eager to leverage their home advantage to secure a much-needed victory.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Cruz Azul, with a 1.73 probability for an away win, compared to 4.56 for a Mazatlán victory and 3.68 for a draw. This translates to a 57.8% chance of Cruz Azul winning, a 21.9% chance for Mazatlán, and a 27.2% probability for a draw. Given these odds, Cruz Azul is expected to dominate, but Mazatlán's home advantage could play a significant role.
Team Analysis
Mazatlán
- Current Form: Mazatlán has struggled this season, averaging only 0.73 goals per match and conceding 1.15.
- Strengths: Their defensive resilience is notable, with an average of 35.73 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: Offensively, they lack firepower, with only 3.42 shots on target per match.
Cruz Azul
- Current Form: Cruz Azul has been impressive, scoring an average of 1.93 goals per game while conceding just 0.93.
- Strengths: Their offensive prowess is evident, with 4.97 shots on target per match and a high possession rate of 58.87%.
- Weaknesses: They have a slightly higher rate of dangerous own half losses at 3.4 per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Cruz Azul has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Mazatlán and maintaining a solid defensive record.
Tactical Approaches
Mazatlán is likely to adopt a defensive strategy, focusing on counter-attacks, while Cruz Azul will aim to control possession and exploit their attacking strengths.
Key Players Spotlight
Mazatlán
- Hugo González: A key figure in defense with 202.87 points this season.
- Brian Rubio: One of the top scorers with 2 goals.
Cruz Azul
- Ángel Sepúlveda: Leading the attack with 12 goals this season.
- C. Rotondi: A versatile player with 227.36 points, contributing significantly to both attack and defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Mazatlán: Average 10.77 shots per game, with a low conversion rate.
- Cruz Azul: Average 14.53 shots per game, with a higher success rate.
Defensive Metrics
- Mazatlán: Strong in interceptions but vulnerable to conceding goals.
- Cruz Azul: Solid defensive record with fewer goals conceded.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Cruz Azul is favored to win, with their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Mazatlán will need to rely on their defensive strengths and hope for a breakthrough in attack.
Final Score Prediction: Mazatlán 1-2 Cruz Azul Half Time Score Prediction: Mazatlán 0-1 Cruz Azul Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 56.67%