MATCH OVERVIEW
Twente and AZ are set to face off in a crucial Dutch Eredivisie match that could have significant implications for their final standings. With the season nearing its end, both teams are eager to secure vital points. The match will take place at De Grolsch Veste, Twente's home ground, on May 14th, 2025, at 18:00.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Twente slightly favored at 2.08, AZ at 2.65, and a draw at 3.12. This translates to a probability of approximately 48% for a Twente win, 37% for AZ, and 32% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Twente having a slight edge due to home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Twente
Twente has shown solid form this season, averaging 1.87 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 53.35%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 54.84% over 2.5 goals percentage and a 64.52% both teams to score percentage. Defensively, Twente concedes an average of 1.42 goals per match, with a strong interception rate of 38.1.
AZ
AZ has been equally impressive, with an average of 1.65 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.74%. Their over 2.5 goals percentage stands at 58.06%, and they have a 54.84% both teams to score percentage. AZ's defense is slightly more robust, conceding only 1.1 goals per match and boasting an interception rate of 39.58.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Twente and AZ have been tightly contested, with both teams having their fair share of victories. The tactical approach from both sides will likely focus on exploiting defensive weaknesses while capitalizing on their offensive strengths.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Twente
- Sem Steijn: Leading the charge with 24 goals this season, Steijn is Twente's key offensive threat.
- Sam Lammers: With 7 goals, Lammers provides additional firepower upfront.
AZ
- Troy Parrott: AZ's top scorer with 14 goals, Parrott will be crucial in breaking down Twente's defense.
- Mexx Meerdink: Contributing 8 goals, Meerdink adds depth to AZ's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Twente averages 13.55 shots per match, with 5.42 on target.
- AZ averages 13.65 shots per match, with 5.23 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Twente's expected goals against is 1.34, while AZ's is 1.11.
- Twente averages 5.55 clearances per match, compared to AZ's 5.
Possession and Passing
- Twente averages 472.42 passes per match, with a success rate of 393.94.
- AZ averages 480.13 passes per match, with a success rate of 404.23.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having the potential to score. Twente's home advantage and slightly better offensive metrics give them a slight edge. However, AZ's solid defense could prove pivotal.
Final Score Prediction
- Twente 2-1 AZ
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Twente's home advantage and Sem Steijn's goal-scoring prowess.
- AZ's defensive solidity and Troy Parrott's attacking threat.
In conclusion, this match promises to be an exciting encounter with both teams showcasing their strengths. Twente's slight edge in offensive metrics and home advantage could be decisive, but AZ's resilience should not be underestimated.