MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Piast Gliwice and Jagiellonia Białystok is set to be a captivating encounter. Both teams are looking to make a significant impact this season, and this match could be pivotal in shaping their campaigns. Taking place at the Stadion Miejski, the game kicks off at 18:15 GMT on September 13, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match are closely matched, with Piast Gliwice having a slight edge at 2.59, while Jagiellonia Białystok is at 2.54. The draw is priced at 3.24, indicating a competitive fixture. The probabilities suggest a 38.6% chance for a home win, 39.4% for an away win, and a 30.9% chance for a draw. Given these odds, the match is expected to be tightly contested, with both teams having a realistic chance of securing victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice has had a challenging start to the season, with an average of 0.4 goals per game and a possession rate of 63.2%. Their defensive solidity is evident with only 1 goal conceded per match. However, their offensive struggles are highlighted by their low expected goals (0.71) and shots on target (2.2) per game.
Jagiellonia Białystok
In contrast, Jagiellonia Białystok has been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Their attacking prowess is supported by an expected goals figure of 1.54 and 5.2 shots on target per match. Defensively, they have conceded 1.8 goals per game, which could be a concern against a determined Piast Gliwice side.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. The tactical battle will be crucial, with Piast Gliwice likely to focus on maintaining possession and Jagiellonia Białystok aiming to exploit their attacking strengths.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Piast Gliwice
- Erik Jirka: With 2 goals this season, Jirka is a key attacking threat for Piast Gliwice.
- Igor Drapinski: Leading the team with 183.1 points, his performance will be vital in midfield.
Jagiellonia Białystok
- Jesús Imaz: The top scorer with 4 goals, Imaz is crucial to Jagiellonia's attacking success.
- Norbert Wojtuszek: His 172.44 points highlight his importance in both attack and defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Piast Gliwice: Average possession of 63.2%, but only 0.4 goals per game.
- Jagiellonia Białystok: 80% of their matches have seen over 2.5 goals, with a 60% BTTS rate.
- Defensive Metrics: Piast Gliwice's expected goals against is 1.07, while Jagiellonia's is 1.91, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on current form and statistical analysis, Jagiellonia Białystok appears to have the upper hand, particularly with their superior goal-scoring record. However, Piast Gliwice's home advantage and possession play could prove decisive. The key to victory will likely be Jagiellonia's ability to convert chances and Piast's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Piast Gliwice 1-2 Jagiellonia Białystok Half Time Score Prediction: Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia Białystok Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 70%
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