Match Overview
This Ekstraklasa fixture between Piast Gliwice and Raków Częstochowa is crucial for both teams as they navigate the latter stages of the season. Raków, currently in the hunt for a top-three finish, will be eager to secure maximum points, while Piast aims to maintain their mid-table stability.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Raków Częstochowa slightly favored at 2.33, indicating a 42.9% probability of winning. Piast Gliwice, with odds of 3.17, have a 31.5% chance, while a draw is priced at 2.95, reflecting a 33.9% probability. The odds imply a tight contest, with Raków's superior form giving them a slight edge.
Team Analysis
Piast Gliwice
- Current Form: Piast has shown resilience this season, averaging 1.09 goals per match while conceding 0.91.
- Strengths: Strong defensive setup with a low average of goals conceded.
- Weaknesses: Struggles in attack, with only 26.09% of matches seeing over 2.5 goals.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Piast has been competitive against Raków, often resulting in close matches.
Raków Częstochowa
- Current Form: Raków boasts a solid record, scoring 1.27 goals per game and conceding just 0.59.
- Strengths: High possession rate (53.73%) and effective dribbling (22.18 successful dribbles per match).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, as indicated by their 4.5 dangerous own half losses.
- Head-to-Head: Raków has had the upper hand in recent encounters, leveraging their offensive prowess.
Key Players Spotlight
- Piast Gliwice: Jorge Félix, with 7 goals, is crucial for Piast's attacking efforts. Erik Jirka's 204.51 points highlight his influence in midfield.
- Raków Częstochowa: Jean Carlos Silva, a top scorer with 5 goals, and Vladyslav Kochergin, also with 5 goals, are key to Raków's attack.
- Matchup: The battle between Piast's defense and Raków's forwards will be pivotal, with Félix and Silva likely to be decisive.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Raków averages more shots (12.73) and shots on target (4.45) compared to Piast's 11.52 and 3.83.
- Defensive Metrics: Raków's defense is more robust, conceding fewer goals (0.59) than Piast (0.91).
- Possession and Passing: Raków's superior possession (53.73%) and passing accuracy could dictate the match tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Raków Częstochowa's form and statistical edge suggest they are likely to emerge victorious. Key factors include their superior offensive metrics and possession play. However, Piast's solid defense could make it a challenging contest. Expect a closely fought match with Raków edging it.
Final Score Prediction: Raków Częstochowa 2-1 Piast Gliwice Half Time Score Prediction: 1-0 to Raków Częstochowa Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%