Match Overview
Raków Częstochowa enters this match as the clear favorite, with average odds of 1.35 for a home win, reflecting their dominant form this season. Lechia Gdańsk, on the other hand, faces an uphill battle with odds of 7.94, indicating their underdog status. The draw is priced at 4.66, suggesting a less likely outcome.
Odds Analysis
- Home Win Probability: 74.07%
- Draw Probability: 21.46%
- Away Win Probability: 12.59%
Given these probabilities, Raków Częstochowa is expected to secure a victory, leveraging their home advantage and superior form.
Team Analysis
Raków Częstochowa
- Current Form: Raków has been impressive, with a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.59 goals per match.
- Strengths: High possession (53.73%), solid defense (0.85 xGA), and effective passing (350.64 successful passes per match).
- Weaknesses: Relatively low goal-scoring rate (1.27 goals per match).
Lechia Gdańsk
- Current Form: Struggling defensively, conceding 1.68 goals per match.
- Strengths: High BTTS percentage (59.09%) and decent offensive metrics (1.27 xG).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense (2.04 xGA) and lower possession (47.82%).
Head-to-Head
Raków has historically had the upper hand in recent encounters, often capitalizing on their home advantage.
Tactical Approaches
Raków is likely to dominate possession and control the midfield, while Lechia may adopt a counter-attacking strategy to exploit any defensive lapses.
Key Players Spotlight
Raków Częstochowa
- Ivi López: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial in breaking down defenses.
- Jean Carlos Silva: Another key attacker with 5 goals, providing width and creativity.
Lechia Gdańsk
- Bogdan Viunnyk: Leading the attack with 4 goals, pivotal in Lechia's offensive play.
- Camilo Mena: Offers pace and skill, also with 4 goals this season.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Raków averages 12.73 shots per match, with 4.45 on target, while Lechia averages 11.05 shots, with 4 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Raków's defense is more robust, with fewer goals conceded and a lower xGA.
Prediction and Conclusion
Raków Częstochowa is poised to win this match, given their superior form and home advantage. Key factors include their defensive solidity and ability to control possession. Lechia Gdańsk will need to improve defensively to stand a chance.
Final Score Prediction: 2-0 to Raków Częstochowa Half Time Score Prediction: 1-0 to Raków Częstochowa Both Teams to Score Probability: 31.82% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 27.27%