MATCH OVERVIEW
Casa Pia AC and Estrela Amadora face off in a pivotal Primeira Liga match that promises excitement and competitive spirit. Casa Pia AC, currently mid-table, will be keen to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win. Estrela Amadora, on the other hand, is looking to improve their away record and climb the league standings. The match will take place at Casa Pia AC's home ground, providing them with a familiar setting to showcase their strengths.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Casa Pia AC with odds of 2.02, indicating a 49.5% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.22, translating to a 31.1% chance, while Estrela Amadora's odds of 3.44 suggest a 29.1% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Casa Pia AC is favored to win, but Estrela Amadora's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Casa Pia AC has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 47%. Their defensive solidity is evident with 37.75 interceptions per game, although they concede 1.63 goals on average. Estrela Amadora, with a slightly higher possession rate of 50.44%, has struggled offensively, averaging 0.78 goals per match. However, their defense has been relatively stronger, conceding 1.11 goals per game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Casa Pia AC's Jérémy Livolant has been a standout performer, scoring 3 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial against Estrela Amadora's defense. Estrela Amadora's Kikas and Ianis Stoica, both with 2 goals, will be key in their attacking efforts. The matchup between Livolant and Estrela's defense could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Casa Pia AC's offensive metrics, such as 9.63 shots per game and 1.12 expected goals, highlight their attacking potential. Defensively, their 2.75 goalkeeper saves per match are crucial. Estrela Amadora's 10.22 shots per game and 1.08 expected goals indicate their ability to create chances, while their 2.78 saves per match reflect defensive resilience.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Casa Pia AC is predicted to have a slight edge in this match, with a 49.5% probability of winning. Estrela Amadora's chances stand at 29.1%, with a draw at 31.1%. Key factors such as home advantage and player form will play a significant role. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Casa Pia AC, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a 37.5% probability, and the match could see over 2.5 goals, with a 37.5% chance.
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