Match Overview
St. Johnstone and Aberdeen face off in a pivotal Scottish Premiership match that could shape their respective seasons. With St. Johnstone looking to climb the table and Aberdeen aiming to solidify their position, this clash at McDiarmid Park promises to be a high-stakes affair.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Aberdeen slightly favored at 2.11, indicating a 47.4% probability of winning. St. Johnstone's odds of 3.28 translate to a 30.5% chance, while a draw is priced at 3.52, giving it a 28.4% likelihood. The odds suggest a tight contest, with Aberdeen having a slight edge.
Team Analysis
St. Johnstone
- Current Form: St. Johnstone has shown resilience this season, with a decent possession rate of 53.59% and an average of 1.1 goals per match.
- Strengths: Their ability to maintain possession and execute successful dribbles (13.86 per match) is notable.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding 1.86 goals per game.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, St. Johnstone has struggled against Aberdeen, which could be a psychological factor.
Aberdeen
- Current Form: Aberdeen has been more consistent, averaging 1.31 goals per game and a slightly lower possession rate of 53.1%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.37.
- Weaknesses: Defensive lapses, with 1.59 goals conceded per match, could be exploited by St. Johnstone.
- Head-to-Head: Aberdeen has a favorable record against St. Johnstone, which could boost their confidence.
Key Players Spotlight
- St. Johnstone: Makenzie Kirk, with 7 goals, is a key offensive threat. His matchup against Aberdeen's defense will be crucial.
- Aberdeen: Kevin Nisbet, also with 7 goals, is expected to lead Aberdeen's attack. His form and ability to find the net could be decisive.
- Player Form: Both teams have players in form, with Aberdeen's Mats Knoester and St. Johnstone's Jack Sanders being standout performers.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Aberdeen averages more shots (10.55) compared to St. Johnstone (8.9), indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: St. Johnstone's higher interceptions (45.69) suggest a proactive defensive strategy.
- Statistical Advantages: Aberdeen's superior CompaScore Rating (1954.3) reflects their overall stronger performance this season.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Aberdeen appears to have a slight advantage, particularly with their offensive prowess and historical success against St. Johnstone. Key factors such as Kevin Nisbet's form and Aberdeen's higher xG could be match-winning elements.
Final Score Prediction: Aberdeen 2-1 St. Johnstone Half Time Score Prediction: Aberdeen 1-0 St. Johnstone Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%