MATCH OVERVIEW
Eibar and Córdoba are set to clash in a pivotal La Liga 2 match that could have significant implications for their playoff aspirations. Eibar, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Ipurua Municipal Stadium to gain an advantage over Córdoba. With the match scheduled for May 25th at 16:30, fans can expect a high-stakes encounter as both teams vie for crucial points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive fixture, with Eibar slightly favored at 1.96, indicating a 51% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 2.82, translating to a 35% chance, while Córdoba's odds of 3.65 suggest a 27% probability of an away victory. Given these odds, Eibar appears to have a slight edge, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Eibar
Eibar's season has been marked by solid defensive performances, conceding an average of 0.98 goals per match. Their possession rate of 49.3% indicates a balanced approach, while their expected goals (xG) of 1.23 suggest they can create scoring opportunities. However, their over 2.5 goals percentage of 30% highlights a tendency for low-scoring games.
Córdoba
Córdoba boasts a higher possession rate of 56.36%, reflecting their control-oriented style. With an average of 1.44 goals per match and an xG of 1.39, they have shown offensive prowess. Their over 2.5 goals percentage of 56.41% suggests they are involved in more high-scoring encounters, which could be a factor against Eibar's defense.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Eibar and Córdoba have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This balance in head-to-head encounters adds an element of unpredictability to the upcoming match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Eibar
- Jon Bautista: With 9 goals this season, Bautista is Eibar's leading scorer and a key figure in their attack.
- José Corpas: Contributing 5 goals, Corpas adds depth to Eibar's offensive lineup.
Córdoba
- Antonio Casas: Casas has been instrumental for Córdoba, netting 10 goals and posing a constant threat to defenses.
- Cristian Carracedo: With 5 goals, Carracedo's performance will be crucial in breaking down Eibar's defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Eibar: Average 11 shots per match with 4.13 on target, indicating a need for improved accuracy.
- Córdoba: Average 13.59 shots per match with 4.72 on target, showcasing their attacking intent.
Defensive Metrics
- Eibar: Concede 0.98 goals per match, supported by 2.58 goalkeeper saves.
- Córdoba: Concede 1.44 goals per match, with 2.41 saves, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Possession and Passing
- Eibar: Average 416.15 passes with a success rate of 340.03.
- Córdoba: Average 383.79 passes with a success rate of 307.85, indicating a slightly less efficient passing game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and odds, Eibar holds a slight advantage, especially playing at home. Their defensive solidity could be the deciding factor against Córdoba's attacking prowess. However, Córdoba's ability to control possession and create chances cannot be underestimated.
Final Score Prediction
Eibar 1-1 Córdoba
Half Time Score Prediction
Eibar 0-0 Córdoba
Match-Winning Factors
- Eibar's home advantage and defensive strength
- Córdoba's possession and attacking capabilities
In conclusion, this match is poised to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams having the potential to secure a vital win. A draw seems the most likely outcome, given the balance in team strengths and historical encounters.