Match Overview
The clash between Deportivo Alavés and Real Madrid is set to be a pivotal moment in the La Liga season. Real Madrid, currently leading the league, will look to extend their dominance, while Deportivo Alavés aims to upset the giants and secure valuable points. The match will be held at the Mendizorrotza Stadium, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong favor towards Real Madrid, with odds of 1.55 for an away win, translating to a probability of approximately 64.52%. Deportivo Alavés, with odds of 5.37, have a 18.62% chance of winning, while the draw stands at 4.08, indicating a 24.51% probability. Given these odds, Real Madrid is expected to emerge victorious, but the unpredictability of football leaves room for surprises.
Team Analysis
Deportivo Alavés
- Current Form: Alavés has shown resilience this season, with an average of 1.1 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.66%. Their defense, conceding 1.52 goals per game, will need to tighten against Real Madrid's potent attack.
- Strengths: Alavés excels in dribbles, averaging 17.24 per match, and successful duels, with 104.59 per game.
- Weaknesses: Their passing accuracy and goal-scoring ability need improvement, as they average only 0.59 assists per match.
Real Madrid
- Current Form: Real Madrid boasts a formidable attack, scoring 2.14 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 59.83%. Their defense is solid, conceding just 1 goal per game.
- Strengths: Madrid's offensive prowess is highlighted by their high shots on target (6.17) and successful dribbles (21.97).
- Weaknesses: Despite their strengths, Madrid's defense can be vulnerable to counter-attacks, as indicated by their interceptions (33.41).
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, Real Madrid has dominated this fixture, often securing wins with their superior squad depth and tactical acumen. Alavés will need to leverage their home advantage to challenge Madrid's supremacy.
Tactical Approaches
- Deportivo Alavés: Likely to adopt a defensive strategy, focusing on counter-attacks and exploiting Madrid's occasional defensive lapses.
- Real Madrid: Expected to play an attacking game, utilizing their possession and passing skills to control the match tempo.
Key Players Spotlight
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: With 11 goals this season, García is Alavés' main threat upfront.
- Nahuel Tenaglia: A key figure in defense, Tenaglia's performance will be crucial in containing Madrid's attackers.
Real Madrid
- Kylian Mbappé: Leading the scoring charts with 22 goals, Mbappé's speed and skill make him a constant threat.
- Vinicius Junior: His creativity and ability to score (10 goals) add depth to Madrid's attacking options.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Real Madrid's average of 15.55 shots per match surpasses Alavés' 9.34, indicating a more aggressive approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Alavés' interceptions (38.48) suggest a proactive defense, while Madrid's clearances (3.34) reflect their organized backline.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Real Madrid is favored to win, with their superior offensive and defensive metrics likely to overpower Alavés. Key factors such as Mbappé's form and Madrid's possession game will be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Real Madrid 3-1 Deportivo Alavés
Half Time Score Prediction: Real Madrid 1-0 Deportivo Alavés
In conclusion, while Deportivo Alavés will put up a fight, Real Madrid's quality and depth are expected to secure them a victory.