MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming La Liga match between Osasuna and Valencia promises to be an intriguing battle as both teams vie for crucial points. Scheduled to take place at El Sadar, Osasuna's home ground, this fixture is set for March 2, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. As the season progresses, every match becomes pivotal, and this encounter is no exception, with both sides looking to improve their standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair. Osasuna, with odds of 2.49, are slight favorites, reflecting a 40.2% probability of winning. Valencia, with odds of 3.17, have a 31.5% chance of victory, while the draw is priced at 3.14, indicating a 31.8% likelihood. The odds suggest a tight match, with Osasuna having a marginal edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Osasuna's current form shows a team that is competitive, with an average of 1.16 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding 1.36 goals on average. Their strength lies in their dueling ability, averaging 207.96 duels per match, and a decent passing game with 360.6 passes per match. However, their weakness is in creating clear goal-scoring opportunities, as indicated by their 1.31 expected goals.
Valencia, on the other hand, have a slightly lower goal average of 1 per match but are more efficient in passing, with 402.16 passes per game. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.64 goals on average. Valencia's strength is in their ability to maintain possession and create chances through crosses, averaging 19.2 per match.
Head-to-head, Osasuna and Valencia have had closely fought encounters, with neither team dominating the other in recent seasons. Tactically, Osasuna may focus on exploiting Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities, while Valencia will aim to control the midfield and capitalize on set-pieces.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Osasuna, Ante Budimir is a key player, having scored 13 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial for Osasuna's chances. Lucas Torró, with 3 goals, also plays a vital role in midfield.
Valencia's Hugo Duro, with 7 goals, is their main attacking threat. His matchup against Osasuna's defense will be pivotal. Luis Rioja, with 5 goals, adds another dimension to Valencia's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Osasuna: Average possession of 46.2%, 9.52 shots per match, 3.24 shots on target.
- Valencia: Average possession of 47.48%, 8.88 shots per match, 2.76 shots on target.
Osasuna's advantage lies in their dueling and defensive capabilities, while Valencia's strength is in their passing and crossing game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested. Osasuna's home advantage and slightly better defensive record give them a slight edge. However, Valencia's ability to control possession and create chances cannot be underestimated.
Prediction: Osasuna 2-1 Valencia Half-Time Score: Osasuna 1-0 Valencia Both Teams to Score Probability: 64% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 44%