MATCH OVERVIEW
Hammarby and Djurgården are gearing up for a pivotal Allsvenskan match that could significantly impact their standings this season. As local rivals, the stakes are high, and both teams will be looking to capitalize on their strengths to secure a win. The match will take place at the Tele2 Arena, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere, adding to the excitement of this derby.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Hammarby slightly, with a home win priced at 1.96, indicating a 51% probability. A draw is set at 3.24, translating to a 31% chance, while Djurgården's odds of winning are 3.57, giving them a 28% probability. These odds suggest a competitive match, with Hammarby having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Hammarby
Hammarby has shown impressive form, averaging 3 goals per match and maintaining a strong possession rate of 55.5%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 18.5 shots per game, with 7.5 on target. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding no goals and boasting a high interception rate of 37.5.
Djurgården
Djurgården, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.5 goals per match. Their possession rate stands at 49.5%, and they have managed 16 shots per game, with 3.5 on target. Defensively, they have conceded 0.5 goals per match, indicating a relatively stable backline.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Hammarby has had the upper hand in recent encounters, leveraging their attacking prowess to outscore Djurgården. This trend may continue, given their current form and statistical advantages.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Hammarby
- Nahir Besara: With 2 goals this season, Besara is a key figure in Hammarby's attack.
- Warner Hahn: His defensive contributions have been crucial, with a CompaScore of 241.
Djurgården
- Adam Ståhl: Scoring Djurgården's sole goal this season, Ståhl will be pivotal in their offensive efforts.
- Filip Manojlovic: His defensive skills will be essential in countering Hammarby's attacks.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Hammarby: Averaging 3 goals and 18.5 shots per game, their offensive strength is evident.
- Djurgården: With only 0.5 goals per match, they need to improve their attacking efficiency.
Defensive Metrics
- Hammarby: Zero goals conceded and high interception rates highlight their defensive solidity.
- Djurgården: Conceding 0.5 goals per match, they have a stable defense but face challenges against Hammarby's attack.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Hammarby is likely to dominate this fixture, given their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Key factors such as possession, goal-scoring ability, and defensive stability favor Hammarby. The final score prediction is a 2-0 victory for Hammarby, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams to score probability is low, at 20%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 60%.