Shanghai Port enters this match with a strong home advantage, reflected in the odds favoring them at 1.2. The probability of a Shanghai Port victory stands at 83.3%, while a draw is at 15.1%, and a Qingdao Hainiu win is at a mere 9.4%. These odds suggest a high likelihood of Shanghai Port securing the three points.
Shanghai Port's form this season has been impressive, with an average of 2.2 goals per match and a possession rate of 57.7%. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by a 70% over 2.5 goals rate and an 80% both teams to score rate. Defensively, they concede 1.4 goals per match, which is slightly higher than their expected goals against of 1.42.
Qingdao Hainiu, on the other hand, struggles offensively with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 47.82%. Their over 2.5 goals rate is significantly lower at 36.36%, indicating a more defensive approach. They concede 1.36 goals per match, aligning closely with their expected goals against of 1.88.
Head-to-head statistics favor Shanghai Port, who have consistently outperformed Qingdao Hainiu in previous encounters. Tactically, Shanghai Port's high possession and attacking style will likely dominate the match, while Qingdao Hainiu may focus on counter-attacks and defensive solidity.
Key players to watch include Shanghai Port's Gustavo and Léo, both with 5 goals this season, and Qingdao Hainiu's Wellington Silva, who has netted 6 goals. The matchup between Gustavo and Silva could be crucial in determining the outcome.
Statistically, Shanghai Port holds the advantage in offensive metrics such as shots (14.6) and successful dribbles (17.2), while Qingdao Hainiu excels in defensive metrics like interceptions (43.73) and successful tackles (7.09).
In conclusion, Shanghai Port is expected to leverage their offensive strength and home advantage to secure a victory. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The final score prediction is a 3-1 victory for Shanghai Port, with a half-time score of 1-0.
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