Rotherham United enters this match with a slight edge, given their home advantage and better overall season performance. Their average odds of 1.56 suggest a 64% probability of victory, while Crawley Town's odds of 5.23 indicate a 19% chance of an upset. The draw stands at 4.19, translating to a 24% likelihood. Rotherham's form has been steady, with a 40.54% rate of matches ending with over 2.5 goals, and a 48.65% chance of both teams scoring. Crawley Town, on the other hand, has a higher over 2.5 goals percentage at 47.37% and a 50% rate of both teams scoring, indicating their potential to challenge Rotherham's defense. Head-to-head statistics favor Rotherham, who have shown resilience in previous encounters. Tactically, Rotherham's possession rate of 47.86% and expected goals of 1.45 suggest a balanced approach, while Crawley's higher possession of 56.37% indicates a more aggressive style. Key players like Sam Nombe and Jonson Clarke-Harris for Rotherham, and Will Swan and Junior Quitirna for Crawley, will be pivotal in determining the match's outcome. Rotherham's defensive solidity, with an expected goals against of 1.19, contrasts with Crawley's vulnerability, conceding 1.84 goals on average. This statistical advantage could be decisive in Rotherham's favor.
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