Daejeon Citizen enters this match with a slight edge in the odds, reflecting their home advantage and recent form. The average odds suggest a 40.3% probability for a Daejeon victory, while Gwangju holds a 33.2% chance of winning. The draw stands at 26.5%, indicating a closely contested match.
Daejeon Citizen has shown a strong offensive presence this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match and maintaining a 60% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals. Their possession rate of 48.2% and 10.2 shots per game highlight their attacking intent. However, their defense has been vulnerable, with an expected goals against of 1.79.
Gwangju, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience with a lower expected goals against of 1.02 and a slightly higher possession rate of 51.75%. Their offensive output has been modest, averaging 1 goal per match, but they have a balanced approach with 50% of their matches featuring both teams scoring.
Head-to-head statistics favor Daejeon Citizen, who have historically performed well against Gwangju. Tactical analysis suggests Daejeon will focus on exploiting Gwangju's defensive gaps, while Gwangju aims to capitalize on counter-attacks and set-pieces.