MATCH OVERVIEW
Mirassol and Santos are set to face off in a thrilling Brazil Série A match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. With Mirassol playing at home, they will look to leverage their familiar surroundings to secure a victory against Santos. The match is scheduled for July 19, 2025, at 21:30 UTC, and will be held at Mirassol's home stadium.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mirassol having odds of 2.56 to win, Santos at 2.72, and a draw at 3.00. This indicates a fairly balanced probability distribution, with Mirassol slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a Mirassol win is approximately 39%, a Santos win at 36%, and a draw at 33%.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mirassol
Mirassol has shown decent form this season, with an average of 11 matches played. They have a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.55 goals per game and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 72.73%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.09 goals per match. Key players like Reinaldo, who has scored 6 goals, will be crucial in this fixture.
Santos
Santos has played 12 matches this season, with a lower goal average of 0.92 per game. Their Both Teams To Score percentage stands at 41.67%, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities. Santos will rely on players like Álvaro Barreal, who has netted 3 goals, to make an impact.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mirassol
- Reinaldo: Top scorer with 6 goals, pivotal in Mirassol's attacking strategy.
- Walter: High performance rating, contributing significantly to the team's overall play.
Santos
- Álvaro Barreal: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals, essential for Santos' offensive efforts.
- Gabriel Brazão: Key defensive player with a high performance rating.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Mirassol averages 12.64 shots per game, with 4.36 on target.
- Santos averages 10.75 shots per game, with 2.67 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Mirassol's expected goals against is 1.44, while Santos' is 1.20.
- Both teams have similar interception rates, with Mirassol at 44.64 and Santos at 38.83.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Mirassol's home advantage and stronger offensive metrics give them a slight edge. However, Santos' defensive capabilities could lead to a tightly contested match. Key factors will include Mirassol's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities and Santos' defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Mirassol 2-1 Santos Half Time Score Prediction: Mirassol 1-1 Santos Probability for Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 55%
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