MATCH OVERVIEW
Changchun Yatai and Dalian Young Boy are gearing up for a crucial Super League - China match that could significantly impact their season standings. Changchun Yatai, playing at home, will be keen to secure a victory to boost their position in the league. Meanwhile, Dalian Young Boy, with slightly better odds, will aim to continue their upward trajectory. The match will take place at Changchun Stadium, with kick-off at 11:00 AM UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a competitive match, with Dalian Young Boy slightly favored at 2.27 compared to Changchun Yatai's 2.85. The draw is priced at 3.24, indicating a closely contested game. The probabilities derived from these odds are:
- Home win: 35%
- Draw: 30%
- Away win: 45% Given these odds, Dalian Young Boy is expected to have a slight edge, but Changchun Yatai's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Changchun Yatai
Changchun Yatai has had a mixed season, with an average of 0.88 goals per match and a possession rate of 45.35%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.88 goals per game. However, they have shown resilience with a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 64.71%. Key players like Long Tan, who has scored 8 goals, will be crucial.
Dalian Young Boy
Dalian Young Boy has been more consistent, averaging 1 goal per match and maintaining a possession rate of 45.12%. Their defense is slightly stronger, conceding 1.41 goals per game. With a higher Expected Goals of 1.28, they pose a significant threat. Cephas Malele, with 5 goals, will be a key player to watch.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Changchun Yatai
- Long Tan: Top scorer with 8 goals, vital for offensive plays.
- L. Rosić: Defensive stalwart with 64.1 points.
Dalian Young Boy
- Cephas Malele: Leading scorer with 5 goals, crucial for attacking strategies.
- Isnik Alimi: Midfield dynamo with 56.03 points.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Changchun Yatai: Average shots per game at 8.59, with 3.24 on target. Defensive rating of 110.92.
- Dalian Young Boy: Average shots per game at 10.71, with 3.06 on target. Defensive rating of 124.15.
Possession and Passing
- Changchun Yatai: Average passes of 341.24, successful passes at 265.76.
- Dalian Young Boy: Average passes of 352.65, successful passes at 276.94.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Dalian Young Boy appears to have a slight advantage, especially with their stronger defensive metrics and higher Expected Goals. However, Changchun Yatai's home advantage and key players like Long Tan could turn the tide. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on defensive solidity and key player performances.
Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Dalian Young Boy. Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1 in favor of Dalian Young Boy. Probability for Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%
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