MATCH OVERVIEW
Harrogate Town and Gillingham face off in a crucial League 2 match that could significantly impact their standings this season. With Harrogate Town playing at home, they will be looking to leverage their home advantage against a Gillingham side that has shown resilience on the road. The match is set to kick off at 3:00 PM on January 24, 2026, at Harrogate's home ground.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Gillingham slightly favored to win at 1.96, compared to Harrogate Town's 3.71. The draw is priced at 3.25, indicating a close contest. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 25.6% for a Harrogate win, 30.8% for a draw, and 51% for a Gillingham victory. Given these odds, Gillingham is expected to have the upper hand, but Harrogate's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Harrogate Town
- Current Form: Harrogate Town has struggled this season, with an average of 0.73 goals per match and a high concession rate of 1.58 goals.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is notable at 72.3%, and they maintain a solid defensive structure with 43.73 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: Scoring has been a challenge, with only 0.73 goals per game and a low expected goals (xG) of 0.88.
Gillingham
- Current Form: Gillingham has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.36 goals per match.
- Strengths: They have a higher offensive rating (302.52) and a better defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per game.
- Weaknesses: Their possession rate is slightly lower at 46.64%, which could be a factor against a possession-oriented team.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Gillingham has had the upper hand in this fixture, but Harrogate will be keen to change that narrative at home.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
- Harrogate Town: Stephen Duke-McKenna and Jack Muldoon, both with 5 goals this season, will be key to Harrogate's attacking efforts.
- Gillingham: Bradley Dack, with 6 goals, is a significant threat and will be a focal point for Gillingham's attack.
- Matchup: The battle between Harrogate's defense and Dack's attacking prowess will be crucial.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Gillingham leads with 11.84 shots per game compared to Harrogate's 8.96.
- Defensive Metrics: Harrogate's higher interception rate could disrupt Gillingham's attacking flow.
- Possession and Passing: Harrogate's passing accuracy and possession could be pivotal in controlling the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Gillingham appears to have the edge, particularly with their superior goal-scoring record and defensive solidity. However, Harrogate's home advantage and potential for defensive resilience could make this a closer contest than the odds suggest. Key factors will include Harrogate's ability to contain Bradley Dack and capitalize on their dribbling and interception strengths.
Final Score Prediction: Harrogate Town 1-2 Gillingham Half Time Score Prediction: Harrogate Town 0-1 Gillingham Both Teams to Score Probability: 64% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 40%
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