MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Schweinfurt and Jahn Regensburg is poised to be a pivotal encounter in the league. Schweinfurt, currently struggling in the lower half of the table, will be eager to secure a victory at home to boost their standings. Meanwhile, Jahn Regensburg, sitting comfortably in the upper echelons, will aim to maintain their momentum and continue their push for promotion.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match suggest a clear advantage for Jahn Regensburg, with an average of 1.85 for an away win, compared to 3.4 for a Schweinfurt victory and 4 for a draw. This translates to a 54.1% probability for a Regensburg win, a 29.4% chance for Schweinfurt, and a 25% likelihood of a draw. Given these odds, Jahn Regensburg is expected to dominate, but Schweinfurt's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Schweinfurt
- Current Form: Schweinfurt has struggled this season, with a low average of 0.89 goals per match and a high concession rate of 2.53 goals.
- Strengths: Their dribbling success rate is notable at 72.6%, and they have a decent expected goals (xG) of 1.46.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties are evident with an expected goals against (xGA) of 2.05 and a high number of dangerous own half losses.
Jahn Regensburg
- Current Form: Regensburg has been more consistent, averaging 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.6.
- Strengths: They excel in duels, with a success rate of 50%, and have a higher offensive rating of 398.28.
- Weaknesses: Their possession is slightly lower at 47.15%, which could be exploited by Schweinfurt.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Jahn Regensburg has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outscoring Schweinfurt in previous encounters.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Schweinfurt
- Jakob Tranziska: Leading scorer with 4 goals, crucial for Schweinfurt's attacking play.
- Kevin Frisorger: Top performer with 148.07 points, pivotal in midfield.
Jahn Regensburg
- Noel Eichinger: Top scorer with 5 goals, a constant threat in the final third.
- Leopold Wurm: Key defensive figure with 148.93 points, essential for maintaining defensive solidity.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Jahn Regensburg averages more shots per game (12.35) compared to Schweinfurt (11.95), indicating a more aggressive attacking approach.
- Defensive Metrics: Schweinfurt's higher average of goalkeeper saves (4.16) suggests a more vulnerable defense.
- Passing and Possession: Schweinfurt's passing accuracy is slightly better, with 318.68 successful passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Jahn Regensburg is favored to win, with their superior offensive and defensive metrics. Schweinfurt's home advantage and potential for surprise cannot be discounted, but Regensburg's form and historical dominance suggest a likely victory.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: Regensburg's attacking prowess and Schweinfurt's defensive vulnerabilities.
- Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Jahn Regensburg.
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