MATCH OVERVIEW
Paderborn and Nürnberg face off in a pivotal Bundesliga 2 match that could have lasting effects on their season standings. With Paderborn currently showing strong form at home, they will be eager to secure three points against a Nürnberg side that has struggled to find consistency. The match will take place at the Benteler-Arena, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 PM on February 7, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Paderborn, with odds of 1.75 for a home win, 3.48 for a draw, and 3.67 for a Nürnberg victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 57% for a Paderborn win, 29% for a draw, and 27% for a Nürnberg win. Given these odds, Paderborn is favored to take the victory, but Nürnberg's potential for an upset cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Paderborn
- Current Form: Paderborn has been impressive this season, with an average of 1.58 goals per match and a possession rate of 55.21%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with an average of 15.26 shots per game and a high expected goals (xG) of 2.12.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with 1.11 goals conceded per match.
Nürnberg
- Current Form: Nürnberg has shown resilience, averaging 1.15 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 50.8%.
- Strengths: Effective in duels with an average of 210.65 per match and a successful dribble rate of 18.55.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties with 1.4 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Paderborn has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Nürnberg has shown they can compete closely, making this matchup intriguing.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Paderborn
- Filip Bilbija: Leading scorer with 8 goals, crucial for Paderborn's attacking play.
- Laurin Curda: Contributing 5 goals, adds depth to the offensive lineup.
Nürnberg
- Mohamed Alì Zoma and Rafael Lubach: Both have scored 5 goals, pivotal in Nürnberg's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Paderborn averages 5.26 shots on target per game, while Nürnberg averages 4.75.
- Defensive Metrics: Paderborn's expected goals against (xGA) is 1.2, slightly better than Nürnberg's 1.34.
- Possession and Passing: Paderborn's passing accuracy is higher, with 400 successful passes per game compared to Nürnberg's 344.8.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Paderborn is likely to leverage their home advantage and superior offensive capabilities to secure a win. Key factors include their higher xG and shot accuracy. However, Nürnberg's ability to perform in duels and dribbles could pose challenges.
Final Score Prediction: Paderborn 2-1 Nürnberg Half Time Score Prediction: Paderborn 1-0 Nürnberg Both Teams to Score Probability: 58% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 56%
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