MATCH OVERVIEW
Everton and Bournemouth are set to face off in a pivotal Premier League match at Goodison Park. Scheduled for February 10, 2026, at 19:30 GMT, this encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league. Everton, currently struggling to find consistency, will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against a Bournemouth side that has shown impressive attacking capabilities this season.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Everton slightly favored at 2.19 to win, while Bournemouth's odds stand at 2.77. The draw is priced at 3.38, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 45.7% for an Everton win, 28.6% for a draw, and 36.1% for a Bournemouth victory. Given these figures, the match is expected to be tightly contested, with Everton having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Everton
Everton's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 23 matches played, and a modest goal-scoring record of 1.09 goals per game. Their defensive solidity is evident with 1.13 goals conceded per match, but their offensive struggles are highlighted by a low shots on target average of 3.26. Everton's possession rate of 44.83% suggests they often play on the counter, relying on key players like James Tarkowski and Jordan Pickford to maintain defensive stability.
Bournemouth
Bournemouth, on the other hand, have been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.65 goals per match. Their attacking style is supported by a higher possession rate of 48.74% and a shots on target average of 4.65. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.87 goals per game. Players like Antoine Semenyo and Marcos Senesi have been instrumental in their attacking and defensive efforts, respectively.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Everton
- James Tarkowski: A defensive stalwart, contributing significantly to Everton's interceptions and clearances.
- Jordan Pickford: Known for his shot-stopping abilities, crucial in maintaining Everton's defensive record.
- Thierno Barry: Leading goal scorer with 5 goals, pivotal in Everton's attacking plays.
Bournemouth
- Antoine Semenyo: Top scorer with 10 goals, a constant threat to opposition defenses.
- Marcos Senesi: Key in defense, providing stability and leadership at the back.
- Marcus Tavernier: Contributing both goals and assists, enhancing Bournemouth's offensive dynamics.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Everton: Average expected goals of 1.17, indicating potential underperformance in goal-scoring. Defensive metrics show resilience with 40.78 interceptions per game.
- Bournemouth: Higher expected goals at 1.66, reflecting their attacking intent. However, their defense is less robust, with 1.87 goals conceded per match.
Possession and Passing
- Everton: Lower possession at 44.83%, but efficient in successful passes (298.83 per game).
- Bournemouth: Better possession at 48.74%, with a higher successful passes average of 321.52.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Everton's home advantage and defensive capabilities give them a slight edge. However, Bournemouth's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Everton's ability to contain Bournemouth's forwards and capitalize on counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Everton 2-1 Bournemouth
- Half Time: Everton 1-1 Bournemouth
The probability for both teams to score is high, given Bournemouth's attacking record and Everton's defensive vulnerabilities. Expect over 2.5 goals in this encounter, with a probability of 65.22% for over 2.5 goals and 69.57% for both teams to score.
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