MATCH OVERVIEW
Bristol City and Wrexham are gearing up for a pivotal Championship match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. Scheduled for February 17, 2026, at Ashton Gate Stadium, this fixture promises to be a captivating contest as both teams aim to secure vital points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are 2.14 for a Bristol City win, 3.48 for a draw, and 3.32 for a Wrexham victory. These odds suggest a slight edge for the home team, Bristol City, with a 46.7% implied probability of winning. The draw stands at a 28.7% probability, while Wrexham's chances are pegged at 30.1%. Given these odds, Bristol City is favored, but Wrexham's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Bristol City
- Current Form: Bristol City has shown a balanced performance with an average of 1.39 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.58%.
- Strengths: Strong in dribbling with 12.58 successful dribbles per match and a solid defensive setup conceding only 1.19 goals on average.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable in dangerous own half losses, averaging 6.29 per game.
Wrexham
- Current Form: Wrexham averages 1.42 goals per match with a possession rate of 46.55%.
- Strengths: High success in duels with 103.03 successful duels per match and effective crossing with 5.58 successful crosses.
- Weaknesses: Slightly higher goals conceded at 1.26 per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had closely contested matches, with Bristol City often having a slight upper hand in home fixtures.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Bristol City
- Anis Mehmeti: A key player with 8 goals this season, crucial in Bristol City's attacking plays.
- Scott Twine: Also with 8 goals, Twine's form will be vital for Bristol City's offensive strategy.
Wrexham
- Kieffer Moore: Leading Wrexham's attack with 10 goals, Moore's performance could be decisive.
- Josh Windass: With 8 goals, Windass adds depth to Wrexham's forward line.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Bristol City averages 12.1 shots per game, slightly higher than Wrexham's 10.32.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive stats, but Bristol City's lower goals conceded gives them a slight edge.
- Passing and Possession: Wrexham's passing accuracy is marginally better, with 331.42 successful passes per game compared to Bristol City's 326.97.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Bristol City is slightly favored to win, but Wrexham's resilience and attacking prowess make them formidable opponents. Key factors such as home advantage and player form will likely influence the outcome.
Final Score Prediction
- Full Time: Bristol City 2-1 Wrexham
- Half Time: Bristol City 1-0 Wrexham
With a 46.7% probability for a home win and a 30.1% chance for an away victory, the match is expected to be competitive. The probability for both teams to score is high, at 64.52%, with a 45.16% chance for over 2.5 goals.
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