MATCH OVERVIEW
Carrarese and Cremonese are set to face off in a crucial Serie B match that could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. Carrarese, playing at home, will be eager to secure a victory to boost their position in the league standings. Meanwhile, Cremonese, with their eyes on promotion, will aim to capitalize on their superior form and take all three points.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Cremonese being the favorites at 1.93, indicating a 51.8% probability of winning. Carrarese, on the other hand, are given odds of 4.2, translating to a 23.8% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.22, with a 31.1% likelihood. Based on these odds, Cremonese is expected to have the upper hand, but Carrarese's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Carrarese has shown resilience this season, with an average of 0.96 goals per game and a possession rate of 50.59%. Their defense, however, has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per match. Cremonese, in contrast, boasts a stronger offensive record, averaging 1.44 goals per game and maintaining 57.63% possession. Their defensive solidity is reflected in their lower average of 1.07 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-head, Cremonese has a slight edge, but Carrarese's tactical approach, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces, could challenge Cremonese's defense.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Carrarese, N. Schiavi and Mattia Finotto, both with 4 goals this season, will be key in breaking down Cremonese's defense. Meanwhile, Cremonese will rely heavily on Franco Vázquez, their top scorer with 9 goals, to lead their attack. The midfield battle between Michele Collocolo and Carrarese's M. Cicconi will be crucial in determining the flow of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Carrarese averages 11.07 shots per game, with 3.78 on target.
- Cremonese averages 13.85 shots per game, with 4.74 on target.
- Carrarese's expected goals (xG) is 1.15, while Cremonese's is 1.59.
- Cremonese has a higher pass completion rate, averaging 404.96 successful passes per game compared to Carrarese's 317.07.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Cremonese appears to have the upper hand in this matchup. Their superior offensive capabilities and defensive stability make them favorites to win. However, Carrarese's home advantage and potential for counter-attacks could lead to an upset. Expect a closely contested match with Cremonese likely edging out a narrow victory.