Mantova enters this match with a slight edge in the odds, reflecting their stronger form and home advantage. The odds suggest a 45.5% chance of a Mantova victory, while Carrarese has a 28.9% probability of winning. The draw stands at 33.7%, indicating a closely contested match.
Mantova's season has been marked by a solid offensive performance, averaging 1.25 goals per game and maintaining a possession rate of 61.56%. Their ability to control the game through successful passes (429.31 per match) and key passes (1.97 per match) highlights their tactical approach focused on ball retention and creating scoring opportunities.
Carrarese, on the other hand, has shown resilience with a defensive CompaScore rating of 282.86, slightly higher than Mantova's. Their ability to intercept (38.67 per match) and clear the ball (5.67 per match) will be crucial in countering Mantova's attacking threats.
Head-to-head statistics favor Mantova, who have historically performed better against Carrarese. However, Carrarese's recent form, including their ability to score in 44.44% of matches, suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
Tactically, Mantova will likely focus on exploiting their possession advantage and creating chances through their high dribble success rate (16.75 per match). Carrarese may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging their successful duels (97.61 per match) to disrupt Mantova's rhythm.
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