MATCH OVERVIEW
Juárez and Necaxa face off in a pivotal Liga MX match that could significantly impact their standings this season. Juárez, playing at home, will look to leverage their strong offensive capabilities, while Necaxa aims to exploit any defensive lapses from the hosts. The match will take place at the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, with kickoff scheduled for 01:00 UTC on February 15, 2026.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are set at 2.00 for a Juárez win, 3.33 for a draw, and 3.17 for a Necaxa victory. These odds suggest a slight edge for Juárez, with a 50% probability of winning, compared to Necaxa's 31.5% chance. The likelihood of a draw stands at 30%. Given these odds, Juárez is favored to secure a home victory, but Necaxa's potential to cause an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juárez has shown a solid form this season, with an average of 1.52 goals per match and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 76%. Their offensive prowess is evident with 10.96 shots per game and a successful dribble rate of 14.88. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.68 goals on average. Necaxa, on the other hand, has a slightly lower goal average of 1.29 but compensates with a higher shots on target rate of 4.76. Their defensive stats are similar, conceding 1.81 goals per match.
In head-to-head encounters, Juárez has often had the upper hand, but Necaxa's tactical flexibility could pose challenges. Juárez's strategy will likely focus on maintaining possession and exploiting Necaxa's defensive weaknesses, while Necaxa might aim to counter-attack and capitalize on set-pieces.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Juárez, Óscar Estupiñán is a key player, having scored 11 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial. Rodolfo Pizarro and Guilherme Castilho, with 4 goals each, also add depth to their attack. Necaxa will rely on Díber Cambindo, who has netted 6 goals, to lead their offensive efforts. The midfield battle between Juárez's Alejandro Mayorga and Necaxa's Agustín Palavecino could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Juárez's offensive metrics, such as an expected goals (xG) of 1.18 and a possession rate of 50.28%, highlight their attacking intent. Defensively, their expected goals against (xGA) of 1.44 indicates vulnerability. Necaxa's xG of 1.48 suggests they can create scoring opportunities, but their xGA of 1.48 reflects defensive challenges. Juárez's higher successful pass rate and key passes per game could give them an edge in building attacks.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Juárez is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring chances. However, Necaxa's ability to counter-attack and their higher shots on target could make them dangerous. The match-winning factors will include Juárez's ability to convert chances and Necaxa's defensive resilience. A close contest is expected, with Juárez slightly favored to win.
Final Score Prediction: Juárez 2-1 Necaxa Half Time Score Prediction: Juárez 1-0 Necaxa Probability of Both Teams to Score: 70% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 65%
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