MATCH OVERVIEW
Basel and Thun are set to face off in a pivotal Swiss Superleague match at St. Jakob-Park. Scheduled for February 1, 2026, at 15:30, this encounter holds significant importance for both teams as they strive to secure valuable points in the league standings. Basel, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an upper hand, while Thun seeks to challenge the hosts and improve their position.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Basel favored at 1.92, indicating a 52.1% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.73, translating to a 26.8% chance, while Thun's odds of 3.25 reflect a 30.8% probability of an away victory. These figures highlight Basel's slight edge, but Thun's potential to cause an upset should not be underestimated.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Basel
Basel's current form shows a solid performance with an average of 21 matches played this season. They have a notable Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 57.14% and a Both Teams To Score percentage of 61.9%, indicating their attacking prowess. Basel's possession rate of 55.52% and average goals of 1.57 per match underscore their offensive capabilities. However, their defense, conceding 1.14 goals per game, will need to be vigilant against Thun's attacking threats.
Thun
Thun has been impressive with a higher Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 76.19% and Both Teams To Score percentage of 71.43%. Their average goals per match stand at 2.19, showcasing their ability to find the net consistently. Despite a lower possession rate of 46.43%, Thun's offensive rating of 822.17 points highlights their effectiveness in attack. Defensively, they concede 1.19 goals per game, similar to Basel, indicating a balanced matchup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Basel
- Xherdan Shaqiri: With 9 goals this season, Shaqiri is a key figure in Basel's attack.
- Philip Otele: Contributing 5 goals, Otele adds depth to Basel's forward line.
Thun
- Christopher Ibayi: Leading Thun's scoring chart with 9 goals, Ibayi is a crucial player.
- Elmin Rastoder: With 8 goals, Rastoder complements Thun's attacking force.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Basel: Average shots per game stand at 16.1, with 5.81 on target, reflecting their attacking intent. Their expected goals of 2.34 suggest potential scoring opportunities.
- Thun: Averaging 17.05 shots per game with 6 on target, Thun's offensive metrics are slightly superior. Their expected goals of 2.07 indicate a strong attacking presence.
Possession and Passing
- Basel: With 453.86 passes per game and a success rate of 376.95, Basel's midfield control is evident.
- Thun: Despite fewer passes at 314.24, Thun's successful pass rate of 236.38 shows efficiency in ball distribution.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Basel holds a slight advantage due to their home ground and consistent performance metrics. However, Thun's attacking capabilities and recent form suggest they could pose a significant challenge. Key factors such as Basel's possession and Thun's offensive efficiency will play crucial roles in determining the outcome.
Final Score Prediction: Basel 2-1 Thun Half Time Score Prediction: Basel 1-1 Thun Probability for Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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